TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131172
Played Sep 15Finished
Maksym Baday
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3117111614411––
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMaksym Baday to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Baday above · Ivan Fedoryshyn below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 77 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Maksym Baday at 55.8%
77 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Baday 124–108 Ivan Fedoryshyn Ivan Fedoryshyn has won 108 of their 232 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Baday
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
124-108 in 232
Baday
Wrong
gap of 16 in 232, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baday 1921 vs Fedoryshyn 1860
Baday
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baday 60% vs Fedoryshyn 20%
Baday
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baday 60% vs Fedoryshyn 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Baday -1 · Fedoryshyn -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Baday)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fedoryshyn form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaday 1.67 / Fedoryshyn 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Baday)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131172
Baday1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite76% won 228 of 302
Up 2–0, closes it98% 123 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it87% 171 of 197
Fedoryshyn2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 32 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back30% 11 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBaday4wins
AwayFedoryshyn6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaday57.1%4 of 7
AwayFedoryshyn100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baday7Fedoryshyn3n = 10Baday took 7 of 10
S2Baday5Fedoryshyn5n = 10split evenly
S3Baday5Fedoryshyn5n = 10split evenly
S4Baday2Fedoryshyn5n = 7Fedoryshyn took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBadayFedoryshynB − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.238.1−0.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBadayFedoryshynBasisWin rate · lifetime558 / 740 vs 560 / 84475.4%66.4%558 / 740 vs 560 / 844Avg sets wonper match2.62.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BadayBaday 1.67/Fedoryshyn 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Baday · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 15:30M. Baday371112591I. Fedoryshyn45131011113
LAug 18 · 15:30M. Baday501141111132I. Fedoryshyn55811813153
LAug 14 · 14:00M. Baday51121110992I. Fedoryshyn521081211113
LAug 13 · 15:30M. Baday34691181I. Fedoryshyn4011117113
WAug 11 · 14:00M. Baday351311113I. Fedoryshyn2711880
WAug 6 · 14:00M. Baday4011117113I. Fedoryshyn35891171
LAug 4 · 17:28M. Baday177460I. Fedoryshyn331111113
LAug 4 · 15:30M. Baday361169101I. Fedoryshyn4391111123
WAug 2 · 17:29M. Baday331111113I. Fedoryshyn196850
WAug 2 · 13:30M. Baday3911611113I. Fedoryshyn32711861
M. Baday10
WSep 15 · 15:00M. Baday1.5011119123S. Chuhai2.505611101LSep 15 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.631211113M. Baday1.4410930WSep 15 · 13:30M. Baday1.331111811113A. Kasyanov3.2585111342LSep 8 · 17:34A. Kasyanov3.25148811113M. Baday1.33121111262WSep 8 · 16:30M. Baday1.4011911113S. Chuhai2.75611781WSep 8 · 15:30M. Baday1.201111113A. Lushchyk4.334680LSep 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.807340I. Fedoryshyn1.911111113WSep 8 · 13:00M. Baday1.3011131115113A. Kasyanov3.4061571762WSep 1 · 17:29I. Fedoryshyn2.006111241M. Baday1.7311814113WSep 1 · 16:30M. Baday1.361111113S. Chuhai3.009890
I. Fedoryshyn10
LSep 15 · 15:30A. Kasyanov2.20101112113I. Fedoryshyn1.611291041WSep 15 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.6711911113A. Kasyanov2.10811991LSep 15 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.63111111113I. Fedoryshyn1.44513941LSep 11 · 17:01A. Kasyanov2.1511911113I. Fedoryshyn1.62411471WSep 11 · 15:30M. Hubenko4.00811691I. Fedoryshyn1.2211911113LSep 11 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5311411972S. Chuhai2.38611411113LSep 11 · 13:30R. Ivanov2.1011911163I. Fedoryshyn1.678118141LSep 11 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5769130A. Kasyanov2.251111153WSep 8 · 14:00M. Baday1.807340I. Fedoryshyn1.911111113LSep 1 · 17:29I. Fedoryshyn2.006111241M. Baday1.7311814113
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