TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4116111012––––
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 54 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 1–1 Anatolii Lievshin Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lievshin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Fedoryshyn 1816 vs Lievshin 1729
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fedoryshyn 80% vs Lievshin 40%
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fedoryshyn 50% vs Lievshin 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fedoryshyn +4 · Lievshin +1
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fedoryshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 2.00 / Lievshin 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13166274
Fedoryshyn2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 34 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back30% 11 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Lievshin1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 123 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it83% 95 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn1wins
AwayLievshin1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricFedoryshynLievshinF − LBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match34.040.5−6.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime547 / 831 vs 190 / 33965.8%56.1%547 / 831 vs 190 / 339Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynFedoryshyn 2.00/Lievshin 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 21 · 13:40I. Fedoryshyn2046100A. Lievshin341111123
WSep 18 · 17:40I. Fedoryshyn48118513113A. Lievshin47811111162
I. Fedoryshyn10
WSep 21 · 15:10I. Fedoryshyn1.571111113O. Seliuchenko2.257750WSep 21 · 12:10I. Fedoryshyn1.8311611113I. Hermakivskyi1.83911881WSep 21 · 10:40I. Fedoryshyn1.83911118113A. Hrabskyi1.8311281132WSep 18 · 17:40I. Fedoryshyn2.38118513113A. Lievshin1.53811111162WSep 18 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.8311510111I. Fedoryshyn1.8331112133LSep 18 · 12:40I. Fedoryshyn1.737111171A. Hrabskyi2.0011713113LSep 18 · 11:40A. Yurkov2.1018811113I. Fedoryshyn1.671611281WSep 17 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.63611951I. Fedoryshyn1.4411311113LSep 17 · 16:30A. Lushchyk2.63811711113I. Fedoryshyn1.4411911792LSep 17 · 15:00A. Kasyanov2.101111173I. Fedoryshyn1.6757150
A. Lievshin10
WSep 21 · 12:40A. Lievshin1.301111113A. Hrabskyi3.405650LSep 21 · 11:40O. Seliuchenko2.201111133A. Lievshin1.6149110LSep 18 · 17:40I. Fedoryshyn2.38118513113A. Lievshin1.53811111162LSep 18 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.28111111892A. Hrabskyi3.50913611113WSep 18 · 14:10A. Yurkov2.10131011352A. Lievshin1.671112811113LSep 18 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.531111113A. Lievshin2.386590LSep 16 · 12:05O. Gavryshko1.83911611113A. Lievshin1.8311411972WSep 16 · 10:35A. Lievshin1.2811711113A. Hrabskyi3.50411451WSep 16 · 08:35V. Mishchenko2.25113131152A. Lievshin1.57511159113WSep 16 · 06:35V. Marushchak1.5311591182A. Lievshin2.38911118113
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