TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136522
Played Sep 16Finished
Vitalii S Marushchak
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119511911118811
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeVitalii S Marushchak to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii S Marushchak above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 94 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Vitalii S Marushchak at 65.2%
94 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii S Marushchak 17–6 Anatolii Lievshin Anatolii Lievshin has won 6 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:45What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Marushchak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-6 in 23
Marushchak
Wrong
gap of 11 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marushchak 1842 vs Lievshin 1733
Marushchak
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marushchak 100% vs Lievshin 40%
Marushchak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marushchak 90% vs Lievshin 50%
Marushchak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marushchak +5 · Lievshin +1
Marushchak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Marushchak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marushchak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarushchak 1.53 / Lievshin 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Marushchak)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13136522
Marushchak1.53
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 86 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it100% 51 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it84% 69 of 82
Lievshin2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 41 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back18% 9 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarushchak8wins
AwayLievshin2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMarushchak leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarushchak87.5%7 of 8
AwayLievshinn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marushchak8Lievshin2n = 10Marushchak took 8 of 10
S2Marushchak5Lievshin5n = 10split evenly
S3Marushchak4Lievshin6n = 10Lievshin took 6 of 10
S4Marushchak6Lievshin1n = 7Marushchak took 6 of 7
S5Marushchak3Lievshin1n = 4Marushchak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarushchakLievshinM − LBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.338.1+2.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarushchakLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 654 vs 185 / 32949.2%56.2%322 / 654 vs 185 / 329Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarushchakMarushchak 1.53/Lievshin 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.8%
Marushchak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 06:35V. Marushchak4411591182A. Lievshin50911118113
WSep 15 · 17:00V. Marushchak331111113A. Lievshin237790
WSep 14 · 12:10V. Marushchak3911611113A. Lievshin29611751
WSep 11 · 15:40V. Marushchak43115511113A. Lievshin4781111892
WSep 9 · 10:50V. Marushchak47111159113A. Lievshin4898111192
WSep 8 · 12:40V. Marushchak3851111113A. Lievshin38119991
LSep 7 · 11:10V. Marushchak2561090A. Lievshin341112113
WSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak4111118113A. Lievshin27821161
WSep 2 · 06:20V. Marushchak531211711123A. Lievshin521013118102
WSep 1 · 12:30V. Marushchak401811113A. Lievshin3316890
V. Marushchak10
WSep 16 · 05:05V. Marushchak1.611116113A. Hrabskyi2.2091460WSep 15 · 18:00I. Hermakivskyi1.40941171V. Marushchak2.7511114113WSep 15 · 17:00V. Marushchak1.671111113A. Lievshin2.107790WSep 15 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.441111113O. Seliuchenko2.637640WSep 15 · 14:30V. Marushchak1.5311159113A. Hrabskyi2.383131171LSep 15 · 12:30V. Marushchak1.83411561A. Yurkov1.8311511113WSep 14 · 16:40V. Marushchak1.4471111113V. Voronenko2.63115221WSep 14 · 15:10V. Marushchak1.501111113O. Kolbasenko2.505580WSep 14 · 13:40V. Marushchak1.9111117113A. Yurkov1.80941151WSep 14 · 12:10V. Marushchak1.6711611113A. Lievshin2.10611751
A. Lievshin10
WSep 16 · 05:35O. Kolbasenko1.5711129872A. Lievshin2.254101111113LSep 15 · 19:00A. Lievshin1.618111261A. Yurkov2.20111310113LSep 15 · 17:00V. Marushchak1.671111113A. Lievshin2.107790LSep 15 · 15:00I. Hermakivskyi1.8011101013113A. Lievshin1.91412121132WSep 15 · 14:00A. Lievshin1.57991411113O. Seliuchenko2.25111112552WSep 15 · 13:00A. Hrabskyi3.50721312102A. Lievshin1.2811191110123WSep 14 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.10113941A. Lievshin1.6781111113WSep 14 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.2811119123A. Hrabskyi3.503911101LSep 14 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.571111143A. Lievshin2.2588120LSep 14 · 12:10V. Marushchak1.6711611113A. Lievshin2.10611751
Upcoming Matches
V. Marushchak
A. Lievshin
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.