TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131215
Played Sep 15Finished
Anatolii Lievshin
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81111131210611––
Artem Yurkov
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnatolii Lievshin above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 82 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 60.9%
82 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Lievshin 14–11 Artem Yurkov Artem Yurkov has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Lievshin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-11 in 25
Lievshin
Wrong
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lievshin 1733 vs Yurkov 1644
Lievshin
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lievshin 60% vs Yurkov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lievshin 60% vs Yurkov 40%
Lievshin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lievshin -2 · Yurkov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Lievshin) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLievshin 1.61 / Yurkov 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Lievshin)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13131215
Lievshin1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 118 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it83% 93 of 112
Yurkov2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 33 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLievshin6wins
AwayYurkov4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLievshin leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLievshin83.3%5 of 6
AwayYurkov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lievshin6Yurkov4n = 10Lievshin took 6 of 10
S2Lievshin5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S3Lievshin6Yurkov4n = 10Lievshin took 6 of 10
S4Lievshin8Yurkov1n = 9Lievshin took 8 of 9
S5Lievshin1Yurkov4n = 5Yurkov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLievshinYurkovL − YBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.040.0+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLievshinYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 326 vs 580 / 98956.1%58.7%183 / 326 vs 580 / 989Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.740.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinLievshin 1.61/Yurkov 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 17:40A. Lievshin551181411113A. Yurkov4561116392
WSep 9 · 12:50A. Lievshin331111113A. Yurkov195950
LSep 8 · 17:40A. Lievshin4141191162A. Yurkov46119114113
LSep 7 · 17:40A. Lievshin49127131162A. Yurkov561411119113
WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin3851111113A. Yurkov33118861
WSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin3911611113A. Yurkov33711961
WSep 1 · 19:00A. Lievshin4211911113A. Yurkov24711241
LAug 31 · 17:40A. Lievshin4981671172A. Yurkov561114119113
LAug 28 · 17:40A. Lievshin55149131092A. Yurkov5712111112113
WAug 26 · 11:20A. Lievshin3911116113A. Yurkov31671171
A. Lievshin10
LSep 15 · 17:00V. Marushchak1.671111113A. Lievshin2.107790LSep 15 · 15:00I. Hermakivskyi1.8011101013113A. Lievshin1.91412121132WSep 15 · 14:00A. Lievshin1.57991411113O. Seliuchenko2.25111112552WSep 15 · 13:00A. Hrabskyi3.50721312102A. Lievshin1.2811191110123WSep 14 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.10113941A. Lievshin1.6781111113WSep 14 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.2811119123A. Hrabskyi3.503911101LSep 14 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.571111143A. Lievshin2.2588120LSep 14 · 12:10V. Marushchak1.6711611113A. Lievshin2.10611751WSep 14 · 11:10V. Voronenko2.00591111102A. Lievshin1.73111139123WSep 11 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.611181411113A. Yurkov2.2061116392
A. Yurkov10
WSep 15 · 17:30A. Yurkov1.731113113O. Seliuchenko2.0061190WSep 15 · 15:30A. Hrabskyi2.0013149101A. Yurkov1.73111611123LSep 15 · 13:30I. Hermakivskyi1.61111298123A. Yurkov2.206101111102WSep 15 · 12:30V. Marushchak1.83411561A. Yurkov1.8311511113LSep 14 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.10113941A. Lievshin1.6781111113WSep 14 · 15:40V. Voronenko2.75118681A. Yurkov1.4051111113LSep 14 · 13:40V. Marushchak1.9111117113A. Yurkov1.80941151LSep 14 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.7388111132A. Hrabskyi2.00111189113LSep 14 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.251111113A. Yurkov1.579760LSep 11 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.611181411113A. Yurkov2.2061116392
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