Ivan Fedoryshyn vs Illia Hermakivskyi 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Sep 21Finished

Ivan Fedoryshyn

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

119611118118––

Illia Hermakivskyi

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Ivan Fedoryshyn to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Illia Hermakivskyi below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 54.0%

75 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:33

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Hermakivskyi

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Fedoryshyn 1828 vs Hermakivskyi 1669

Fedoryshyn

Correct

both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Fedoryshyn 60% vs Hermakivskyi 40%

Fedoryshyn

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Fedoryshyn 50% vs Hermakivskyi 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Fedoryshyn +3 · Hermakivskyi +2

Fedoryshyn

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fedoryshyn)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hermakivskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsFedoryshyn 1.83 / Hermakivskyi 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Fedoryshyn)+4.0pp

Setka Cup · #13166481

Fedoryshyn1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Hermakivskyi1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricFedoryshynHermakivskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime546 / 829 vs 26 / 5965.9%44.1%546 / 829 vs 26 / 59Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Fedoryshyn

Fedoryshyn 1.83/Hermakivskyi 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Fedoryshyn won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

I. Fedoryshyn10