TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141191311––––
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:04 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Seliuchenko above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 59 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 61.3%
59 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Seliuchenko 8–11 Anatolii Lievshin Oleksandr Seliuchenko has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:04What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Lievshin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-11 in 19
Lievshin
Wrong
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seliuchenko 1586 vs Lievshin 1717
Lievshin
Wrong
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seliuchenko 0% vs Lievshin 20%
Lievshin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seliuchenko 10% vs Lievshin 50%
Lievshin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Seliuchenko -6 · Lievshin -2
Seliuchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Lievshin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeliuchenko 2.20 / Lievshin 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Lievshin)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13166608
Seliuchenko2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 15)
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog55% won 42 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back37% 15 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Lievshin1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 123 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it83% 95 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSeliuchenko4wins
AwayLievshin6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLievshin leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeliuchenko75%3 of 4
AwayLievshin83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seliuchenko4Lievshin6n = 10Lievshin took 6 of 10
S2Seliuchenko6Lievshin4n = 10Seliuchenko took 6 of 10
S3Seliuchenko2Lievshin8n = 10Lievshin took 8 of 10
S4Seliuchenko2Lievshin2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSeliuchenkoLievshinS − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.635.5−4.9per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeliuchenkoLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime179 / 308 vs 188 / 33658.1%56%179 / 308 vs 188 / 336Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinSeliuchenko 2.20/Lievshin 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Seliuchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 14:00O. Seliuchenko44111112552A. Lievshin54991411113
LSep 11 · 12:40O. Seliuchenko125520A. Lievshin331111113
LSep 9 · 08:50O. Seliuchenko112540A. Lievshin331111113
LSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko271111411A. Lievshin4313811113
LSep 1 · 17:30O. Seliuchenko2451270A. Lievshin361114113
WAug 28 · 16:10O. Seliuchenko4414118113A. Lievshin371291151
LAug 25 · 17:30O. Seliuchenko26121220A. Lievshin391414113
WAug 19 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko331111113A. Lievshin196940
WAug 18 · 18:30O. Seliuchenko331111113A. Lievshin228590
WAug 12 · 06:50O. Seliuchenko52911912113A. Lievshin39114111032
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 15 · 18:30A. Hrabskyi1.9111811133O. Seliuchenko1.808113111LSep 15 · 17:30A. Yurkov1.731113113O. Seliuchenko2.0061190LSep 15 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.441111113O. Seliuchenko2.637640LSep 15 · 14:00A. Lievshin1.57991411113O. Seliuchenko2.25111112552LSep 15 · 12:00I. Hermakivskyi1.441211113O. Seliuchenko2.6310350LSep 11 · 17:10A. Hrabskyi2.101111113O. Seliuchenko1.676690WSep 11 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.8081111111O. Seliuchenko1.9111136133LSep 11 · 14:40V. Marushchak1.611111113O. Seliuchenko2.208680LSep 11 · 12:40A. Lievshin1.731111113O. Seliuchenko2.005520LSep 11 · 10:40V. Voronenko2.201111123O. Seliuchenko1.6157100
A. Lievshin10
LSep 18 · 17:40I. Fedoryshyn2.38118513113A. Lievshin1.53811111162LSep 18 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.28111111892A. Hrabskyi3.50913611113WSep 18 · 14:10A. Yurkov2.10131011352A. Lievshin1.671112811113LSep 18 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.531111113A. Lievshin2.386590LSep 16 · 12:05O. Gavryshko1.83911611113A. Lievshin1.8311411972WSep 16 · 10:35A. Lievshin1.2811711113A. Hrabskyi3.50411451WSep 16 · 08:35V. Mishchenko2.25113131152A. Lievshin1.57511159113WSep 16 · 06:35V. Marushchak1.5311591182A. Lievshin2.38911118113WSep 15 · 14:00A. Lievshin1.57991411113O. Seliuchenko2.25111112552WSep 11 · 12:40A. Lievshin1.731111113O. Seliuchenko2.005520
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