TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Anatolii Lievshin
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116115––––
Andrii Hrabskyi
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 75.5% is still 75.5%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
75.5%
75.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Lievshin above · Andrii Hrabskyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 49 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 75.5%
49 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Lievshin 23–6 Andrii Hrabskyi Andrii Hrabskyi has won 6 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:18What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Lievshin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-6 in 29
Lievshin
Correct
gap of 17 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lievshin 1711 vs Hrabskyi 1652
Lievshin
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lievshin 20% vs Hrabskyi 60%
Hrabskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lievshin 50% vs Hrabskyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lievshin -3 · Hrabskyi -1
Lievshin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Lievshin) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLievshin 1.30 / Hrabskyi 3.40
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Lievshin)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13166404
Lievshin1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 123 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it83% 95 of 115
Hrabskyi3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 103 of 266
Down 0–1, comes back21% 33 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLievshin8wins
AwayHrabskyi2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLievshin leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLievshin87.5%7 of 8
AwayHrabskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lievshin8Hrabskyi2n = 10Lievshin took 8 of 10
S2Lievshin5Hrabskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Lievshin7Hrabskyi3n = 10Lievshin took 7 of 10
S4Lievshin7Hrabskyi2n = 9Lievshin took 7 of 9
S5Lievshin1Hrabskyi2n = 3Hrabskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLievshinHrabskyiL − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match45.035.7+9.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLievshinHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 338 vs 234 / 53955.9%43.4%189 / 338 vs 234 / 539Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinLievshin 1.30/Hrabskyi 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.9%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 12:40A. Lievshin331111113A. Hrabskyi165650
LSep 18 · 16:10A. Lievshin50111111892A. Hrabskyi50913611113
WSep 16 · 10:35A. Lievshin4011711113A. Hrabskyi24411451
WSep 15 · 13:00A. Lievshin6311191110123A. Hrabskyi53721312102
WSep 14 · 16:10A. Lievshin4311119123A. Hrabskyi333911101
WSep 11 · 11:40A. Lievshin43111011113A. Hrabskyi35912681
WSep 9 · 07:50A. Lievshin44111111113A. Hrabskyi33138391
WSep 8 · 13:40A. Lievshin4311711143A. Hrabskyi346115121
LSep 7 · 12:10A. Lievshin48111181172A. Hrabskyi48138115113
WSep 4 · 11:10A. Lievshin4311119123A. Hrabskyi315511101
A. Lievshin10
LSep 21 · 11:40O. Seliuchenko2.201111133A. Lievshin1.6149110LSep 18 · 17:40I. Fedoryshyn2.38118513113A. Lievshin1.53811111162LSep 18 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.28111111892A. Hrabskyi3.50913611113WSep 18 · 14:10A. Yurkov2.10131011352A. Lievshin1.671112811113LSep 18 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.531111113A. Lievshin2.386590LSep 16 · 12:05O. Gavryshko1.83911611113A. Lievshin1.8311411972WSep 16 · 10:35A. Lievshin1.2811711113A. Hrabskyi3.50411451WSep 16 · 08:35V. Mishchenko2.25113131152A. Lievshin1.57511159113WSep 16 · 06:35V. Marushchak1.5311591182A. Lievshin2.38911118113WSep 16 · 05:35O. Kolbasenko1.5711129872A. Lievshin2.254101111113
A. Hrabskyi10
LSep 21 · 10:40I. Fedoryshyn1.83911118113A. Hrabskyi1.8311281132WSep 18 · 17:10A. Yurkov1.831191171A. Hrabskyi1.8313119113WSep 18 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.28111111892A. Hrabskyi3.50913611113LSep 18 · 14:40V. Marushchak1.531211133A. Hrabskyi2.38105110WSep 18 · 12:40I. Fedoryshyn1.737111171A. Hrabskyi2.0011713113WSep 18 · 10:40V. Voronenko2.2091111782A. Hrabskyi1.61115811113WSep 16 · 11:35V. Mishchenko2.1071060A. Hrabskyi1.671112113LSep 16 · 10:35A. Lievshin1.2811711113A. Hrabskyi3.50411451LSep 16 · 09:05O. Kolbasenko1.501171110143A. Hrabskyi2.50211312122LSep 16 · 07:05O. Gavryshko1.5391211113A. Hrabskyi2.381110681
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