TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Baday vs Ivan Fedoryshyn 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Maksym Baday
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1156111311113––
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeMaksym Baday to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Baday above · Ivan Fedoryshyn below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 71 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Maksym Baday at 56.6%
71 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Baday 128–114 Ivan Fedoryshyn Ivan Fedoryshyn has won 114 of their 242 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Baday
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
128-114 in 242
Baday
Correct
gap of 14 in 242, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baday 1900 vs Fedoryshyn 1841
Baday
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baday 60% vs Fedoryshyn 80%
Fedoryshyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baday 70% vs Fedoryshyn 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Baday +1 · Fedoryshyn -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Baday) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fedoryshyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaday 1.67 / Fedoryshyn 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Baday)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13185758
Baday1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite75% won 225 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it98% 119 of 122
Up 1–0, closes it87% 166 of 191
Fedoryshyn2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 34 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back32% 12 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBaday4wins
AwayFedoryshyn6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderFedoryshyn leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaday100%3 of 3
AwayFedoryshyn85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baday3Fedoryshyn7n = 10Fedoryshyn took 7 of 10
S2Baday3Fedoryshyn7n = 10Fedoryshyn took 7 of 10
S3Baday6Fedoryshyn4n = 10Baday took 6 of 10
S4Baday4Fedoryshyn2n = 6Baday took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBadayFedoryshynB − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.035.5−2.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBadayFedoryshynBasisWin rate · lifetime534 / 711 vs 545 / 82675.1%66%534 / 711 vs 545 / 826Avg sets wonper match2.62.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BadayBaday 1.67/Fedoryshyn 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Baday · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Baday won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 17:30M. Baday391461181I. Fedoryshyn4516117113
LSep 15 · 12:30M. Baday30371641I. Fedoryshyn47111114113
LSep 8 · 14:00M. Baday147340I. Fedoryshyn331111113
WSep 1 · 17:29M. Baday4411814113I. Fedoryshyn336111241
LSep 1 · 14:00M. Baday44411101182I. Fedoryshyn42115123113
WAug 28 · 16:00M. Baday4391211113I. Fedoryshyn361110871
LAug 28 · 13:30M. Baday2710980I. Fedoryshyn341211113
WAug 27 · 15:30M. Baday3611311113I. Fedoryshyn31611861
WAug 21 · 14:00M. Baday341111123I. Fedoryshyn2165100
LAug 20 · 17:28M. Baday195680I. Fedoryshyn331111113
M. Baday10
WSep 24 · 14:00M. Baday1.1711118113A. Lushchyk4.50541161LSep 24 · 13:00M. Baday1.44661171S. Chuhai2.6311119113LSep 18 · 17:30A. Lushchyk4.3311117113M. Baday1.20351151WSep 18 · 15:00M. Baday1.44511711113S. Chuhai2.6311911992WSep 18 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.75115971M. Baday1.4081111113WSep 18 · 13:30M. Baday1.401131011113A. Kasyanov2.7551112752WSep 18 · 12:30M. Baday1.201111123A. Lushchyk4.3327100LSep 15 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn2.1016117113M. Baday1.671461181WSep 15 · 16:00A. Kasyanov3.0091191292M. Baday1.361141110113WSep 15 · 15:00M. Baday1.5011119123S. Chuhai2.505611101
I. Fedoryshyn10
LSep 24 · 14:30I. Fedoryshyn1.5364121142S. Chuhai2.381111109113WSep 24 · 13:30R. Ivanov2.009131371I. Fedoryshyn1.73111115113WSep 24 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn1.4011117113A. Lushchyk2.75771181WSep 21 · 16:40I. Fedoryshyn2.2041111113O. Kolbasenko1.61115781WSep 21 · 15:10I. Fedoryshyn1.571111113O. Seliuchenko2.257750LSep 21 · 13:40I. Fedoryshyn2.0046100A. Lievshin1.731111123WSep 21 · 12:10I. Fedoryshyn1.8311611113I. Hermakivskyi1.83911881WSep 21 · 10:40I. Fedoryshyn1.83911118113A. Hrabskyi1.8311281132WSep 18 · 17:40I. Fedoryshyn2.38118513113A. Lievshin1.53811111162WSep 15 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn2.1016117113M. Baday1.671461181
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