TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ivan Fedoryshyn vs Andrii Lushchyk 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Ivan Fedoryshyn
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117117711118––
Andrii Lushchyk
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeIvan Fedoryshyn to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Fedoryshyn above · Andrii Lushchyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Ivan Fedoryshyn at 68.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fedoryshyn 124–40 Andrii Lushchyk Andrii Lushchyk has won 40 of their 164 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:21What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Fedoryshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
124-40 in 164
Fedoryshyn
Correct
gap of 84 in 164, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fedoryshyn 1831 vs Lushchyk 1770
Fedoryshyn
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fedoryshyn 80% vs Lushchyk 60%
Fedoryshyn
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fedoryshyn 70% vs Lushchyk 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fedoryshyn +2 · Lushchyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Fedoryshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lushchyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFedoryshyn 1.40 / Lushchyk 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Fedoryshyn)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13185648
Fedoryshyn1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 21)
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 185 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it97% 114 of 117
Up 1–0, closes it83% 153 of 185
Lushchyk2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 43 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back15% 17 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFedoryshyn5wins
AwayLushchyk5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFedoryshyn71.4%5 of 7
AwayLushchyk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fedoryshyn7Lushchyk3n = 10Fedoryshyn took 7 of 10
S2Fedoryshyn5Lushchyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Fedoryshyn5Lushchyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Fedoryshyn1Lushchyk3n = 4Lushchyk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFedoryshynLushchykF − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.432.4+2.0per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFedoryshynLushchykBasisWin rate · lifetime549 / 833 vs 368 / 79265.9%46.5%549 / 833 vs 368 / 792Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FedoryshynFedoryshyn 1.40/Lushchyk 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.7%
Fedoryshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fedoryshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn4711911792A. Lushchyk48811711113
WSep 17 · 13:00I. Fedoryshyn331111113A. Lushchyk229850
WSep 10 · 15:30I. Fedoryshyn331111113A. Lushchyk218760
WSep 8 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn341211113A. Lushchyk1810440
WSep 4 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn331111113A. Lushchyk165470
LSep 4 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn30911191A. Lushchyk4011711113
LSep 3 · 17:30I. Fedoryshyn31117581A. Lushchyk4181111113
LSep 3 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn257990A. Lushchyk331111113
WSep 1 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn51156811113A. Lushchyk51131111792
LAug 27 · 12:30I. Fedoryshyn2798100A. Lushchyk341111123
I. Fedoryshyn10
WSep 24 · 13:30R. Ivanov2.009131371I. Fedoryshyn1.73111115113WSep 21 · 16:40I. Fedoryshyn2.2041111113O. Kolbasenko1.61115781WSep 21 · 15:10I. Fedoryshyn1.571111113O. Seliuchenko2.257750LSep 21 · 13:40I. Fedoryshyn2.0046100A. Lievshin1.731111123WSep 21 · 12:10I. Fedoryshyn1.8311611113I. Hermakivskyi1.83911881WSep 21 · 10:40I. Fedoryshyn1.83911118113A. Hrabskyi1.8311281132WSep 18 · 17:40I. Fedoryshyn2.38118513113A. Lievshin1.53811111162WSep 18 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.8311510111I. Fedoryshyn1.8331112133LSep 18 · 12:40I. Fedoryshyn1.737111171A. Hrabskyi2.0011713113LSep 18 · 11:40A. Yurkov2.1018811113I. Fedoryshyn1.671611281
A. Lushchyk10
LSep 24 · 14:00M. Baday1.1711118113A. Lushchyk4.50541161WSep 22 · 17:30S. Chuhai2.109680A. Lushchyk1.671111113LSep 22 · 16:00A. Vasylets2.381111113A. Lushchyk1.537750LSep 22 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.538950M. Hubenko2.381111113WSep 22 · 14:00M. Hubenko2.3810470A. Lushchyk1.531211113WSep 22 · 13:30A. Lushchyk1.501151110113A. Vasylets2.5081141292WSep 22 · 12:30A. Lushchyk1.6181111113S. Chuhai2.20118971WSep 18 · 17:30A. Lushchyk4.3311117113M. Baday1.20351151WSep 18 · 16:30A. Lushchyk1.52811118113S. Chuhai2.3511681152WSep 18 · 14:30A. Lushchyk2.631111113A. Kasyanov1.449780
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.