TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jan Marhol vs Martin Drabek 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Jan Marhol
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81111610121161012
Martin Drabek
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:42 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeJan Marhol to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Marhol above · Martin Drabek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 97 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Jan Marhol at 64.5%
97 points played in total.
H2H Jan Marhol 1–0 Martin Drabek Martin Drabek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:42What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Marhol
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Marhol 1484 vs Drabek 1352
Marhol
Wrong
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marhol 60% vs Drabek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marhol 50% vs Drabek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Marhol +1 · Drabek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Marhol)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Drabek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarhol 1.44 / Drabek 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Marhol)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13186799
Marhol1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 37 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it70% 23 of 33
Drabek2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 14 days ago (Sep 10) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 11 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMarhol1wins
AwayDrabek0wins
Marhol leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMarholDrabekM − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match37.030.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarholDrabekBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 249 vs 42 / 12751%33.1%127 / 249 vs 42 / 127Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarholMarhol 1.44/Drabek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Marhol · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Drabek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 19 · 19:30J. Marhol3741111113M. Drabek30117571
J. Marhol10
WSep 24 · 19:00J. Marhol2.2012119113M. Vana1.611081171WSep 23 · 20:58J. Marhol3.001011118113J. Juppa1.3612951192LSep 23 · 20:00J. Juppa1.531111113J. Marhol2.387870WSep 23 · 19:00J. Tichy1.8311850J. Marhol1.831311113WSep 23 · 17:30J. Botka1.83119781J. Marhol1.8391111113LSep 13 · 11:30L. Hendrych1.7391111113J. Marhol2.00117771WSep 13 · 11:00J. Marhol2.00118411113F. Kubos1.7361111572WSep 13 · 10:00J. Marhol2.6391111113J. Juppa1.44116931LSep 12 · 16:29J. Hanacek2.0091113113J. Marhol1.731181181LSep 12 · 14:30J. Marhol1.50115971J. Hanacek2.506111183
M. Drabek10
LSep 24 · 18:30M. Barton1.6771111113M. Drabek2.10117981LSep 10 · 20:28M. Drabek1.73771171F. Schmidtmayer2.0011115113WSep 10 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83211641M. Drabek1.8311711113WSep 10 · 19:00M. Drabek1.9112911113J. Pina1.801011681WSep 10 · 18:00M. Drabek3.0021311113T. Stejskal1.361111941LAug 11 · 20:43J. Hanacek1.911111113M. Drabek1.807930WAug 11 · 19:30M. Drabek1.83101111113J. Hanacek1.83127971LAug 11 · 18:30M. Drabek2.20119981L. Krasl1.6191111113WAug 11 · 17:30M. Drabek2.0011117113J. Mejzlik1.73871191LJun 19 · 20:38V. Herrmann1.5711118133M. Drabek2.256711111
Upcoming Matches
J. Marhol
Nothing scheduled
M. Drabek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.