TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jachym Juppa vs Jan Marhol 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Jachym Juppa
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118117––––
Jan Marhol
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:39 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeJachym Juppa to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJachym Juppa above · Jan Marhol below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jachym Juppa at 60.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jachym Juppa 1–1 Jan Marhol Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Juppa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Juppa 1597 vs Marhol 1479
Juppa
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juppa 60% vs Marhol 80%
Marhol
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juppa 80% vs Marhol 50%
Juppa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Juppa -1 · Marhol +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Juppa) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marhol form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuppa 1.53 / Marhol 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Juppa)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13180438
Juppa1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 66 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it66% 53 of 80
Marhol2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 20 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back35% 8 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back29% 2 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJuppa1wins
AwayMarhol1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricJuppaMarholJ − MBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match35.540.5−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuppaMarholBasisWin rate · lifetime444 / 845 vs 126 / 24752.5%51%444 / 845 vs 126 / 247Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.540.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuppaJuppa 1.53/Marhol 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Juppa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Juppa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 13 · 10:00J. Juppa29116931J. Marhol4291111113
WMay 9 · 15:15J. Juppa4213711113J. Marhol391111981
J. Juppa10
LSep 23 · 20:58J. Marhol3.001011118113J. Juppa1.3612951192LSep 23 · 18:30J. Botka2.7591111113J. Juppa1.40117991WSep 23 · 18:00J. Tichy2.0091141162J. Juppa1.73116116113LSep 20 · 13:15F. Kubos2.001311113J. Juppa1.7311970WSep 20 · 11:30O. Chadima2.101071171J. Juppa1.6712115103WSep 20 · 11:00J. Juppa1.671114113J. Snr2.1091290WSep 20 · 10:00J. Juppa1.61712118113F. Kubos2.20111041192WSep 19 · 16:53J. Juppa1.57119124103V. Herrmann2.25511101162WSep 19 · 15:45J. Juppa1.803131111113V. Lopata1.9111158772WSep 19 · 14:15V. Herrmann2.00511991J. Juppa1.7311911113
J. Marhol10
WSep 23 · 20:58J. Marhol3.001011118113J. Juppa1.3612951192WSep 23 · 19:00J. Tichy1.8311850J. Marhol1.831311113WSep 23 · 17:30J. Botka1.83119781J. Marhol1.8391111113LSep 13 · 11:30L. Hendrych1.7391111113J. Marhol2.00117771WSep 13 · 11:00J. Marhol2.00118411113F. Kubos1.7361111572WSep 13 · 10:00J. Marhol2.6391111113J. Juppa1.44116931LSep 12 · 16:29J. Hanacek2.0091113113J. Marhol1.731181181LSep 12 · 14:30J. Marhol1.50115971J. Hanacek2.506111183LSep 12 · 13:30J. Marhol2.007111251F. Kubos1.73111310103WSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133
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