TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jan Botka vs Jachym Juppa 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Jan Botka
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911117119119––
Jachym Juppa
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:09 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeJachym Juppa to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Botka above · Jachym Juppa below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jachym Juppa at 69.1%
78 points played in total.
H2H Jan Botka 0–2 Jachym Juppa Jan Botka has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Juppa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Botka 1423 vs Juppa 1614
Juppa
Wrong
both rated, 191 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Botka 40% vs Juppa 80%
Juppa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Botka 30% vs Juppa 90%
Juppa
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Botka -3 · Juppa +1
Botka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Juppa)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBotka 2.75 / Juppa 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Juppa)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13180248
Botka2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 15 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Juppa1.40
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 66 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it66% 53 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBotka0wins
AwayJuppa2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderJuppa leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBotkaJuppaB − JBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Sweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBotkaJuppaBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 108 vs 444 / 84442.6%52.6%46 / 108 vs 444 / 844Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuppaBotka 2.75/Juppa 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.1%
Juppa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Botka won
Recent Results
J. Botka10
LSep 23 · 19:30J. Botka2.25111110862J. Tichy1.57891211113LSep 23 · 17:30J. Botka1.83119781J. Marhol1.8391111113LSep 19 · 08:14M. Soukup1.3611811113J. Botka3.00711951LSep 19 · 07:15J. Botka2.3887111152M. Soukup1.53111193113WSep 19 · 06:15J. Botka3.2541111113Z. Kuksa1.33115481WSep 19 · 05:15J. Botka2.20111112113M. Taranko1.61651441LSep 18 · 20:44J. Botka2.007811101J. Snr1.7311114123LSep 18 · 20:00J. Botka2.3811181692F. Kubos1.531181114113LSep 18 · 18:30J. Snr1.7311511113J. Botka2.00811871WSep 18 · 18:00L. Hendrych1.50810100J. Botka2.501112123
J. Juppa10
WSep 23 · 18:00J. Tichy2.0091141162J. Juppa1.73116116113LSep 20 · 13:15F. Kubos2.001311113J. Juppa1.7311970WSep 20 · 11:30O. Chadima2.101071171J. Juppa1.6712115103WSep 20 · 11:00J. Juppa1.671114113J. Snr2.1091290WSep 20 · 10:00J. Juppa1.61712118113F. Kubos2.20111041192WSep 19 · 16:53J. Juppa1.57119124103V. Herrmann2.25511101162WSep 19 · 15:45J. Juppa1.803131111113V. Lopata1.9111158772WSep 19 · 14:15V. Herrmann2.00511991J. Juppa1.7311911113WSep 19 · 13:45L. Stoces2.35101060J. Juppa1.52121283WSep 18 · 17:00J. Juppa2.0011116113Z. Kuksa1.73981171
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