TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13158231
Played Sep 19Finished
Milos Soukup
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117811119115––
Jan Botka
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMilos Soukup above · Jan Botka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 73 set 4, 11-5
73 points played in total.
H2H Milos Soukup 1–0 Jan Botka Jan Botka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Soukup beat Botka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Soukup)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Soukup form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSoukup 1.36 / Botka 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Soukup)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13158231
Soukup1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 18 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Botka3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 13 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back24% 5 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSoukup1wins
AwayBotka0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSoukup leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSoukupBotkaS − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.042.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoukupBotkaBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 78 vs 46 / 10647.4%43.4%37 / 78 vs 46 / 106Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SoukupSoukup 1.36/Botka 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Soukup · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Soukup won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 19 · 07:15M. Soukup45111193113J. Botka4287111152
M. Soukup10
WSep 19 · 07:15J. Botka2.3887111152M. Soukup1.53111193113WSep 19 · 06:45M. Soukup1.801111113M. Taranko1.916880WSep 19 · 05:45M. Soukup2.10121211113Z. Kuksa1.671410681WSep 15 · 17:04M. Soukup1.671111113L. Tuma2.104960WSep 15 · 16:00M. Soukup1.67111011113T. Stejskal2.10712791WSep 15 · 14:30P. Abraham2.2012460M. Soukup1.611411113WSep 15 · 14:00L. Tuma1.9141141122M. Soukup1.80115119113LSep 10 · 16:29M. Soukup2.10111211462T. Bertho1.67614611113LSep 10 · 15:30T. Bertho2.3811911143M. Soukup1.537115121LSep 10 · 15:00M. Soukup1.73111121162P. Abraham2.00137113113
J. Botka10
LSep 19 · 07:15J. Botka2.3887111152M. Soukup1.53111193113WSep 19 · 06:15J. Botka3.2541111113Z. Kuksa1.33115481WSep 19 · 05:15J. Botka2.20111112113M. Taranko1.61651441LSep 18 · 20:44J. Botka2.007811101J. Snr1.7311114123LSep 18 · 20:00J. Botka2.3811181692F. Kubos1.531181114113LSep 18 · 18:30J. Snr1.7311511113J. Botka2.00811871WSep 18 · 18:00L. Hendrych1.50810100J. Botka2.501112123LSep 11 · 20:24K. Jirousek2.50111111113J. Botka1.50613491WSep 11 · 19:15J. Botka1.30111177113K. Jirousek3.4057111162LSep 11 · 18:15J. Botka2.101171171L. Hendrych1.6741113113
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