TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jiri Tichy vs Jan Marhol 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Jiri Tichy
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113811511––––
Jan Marhol
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Marhol to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Tichy above · Jan Marhol below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 59 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Jan Marhol at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Tichy 0–1 Jan Marhol Jiri Tichy has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:18What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Marhol
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Tichy 1435 vs Marhol 1466
Marhol
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tichy 40% vs Marhol 60%
Marhol
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tichy 30% vs Marhol 50%
Marhol
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tichy -3 · Marhol +1
Tichy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Marhol)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tichy form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTichy 1.83 / Marhol 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Marhol)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13180328
Tichy1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Marhol1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTichy0wins
AwayMarhol1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMarhol leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTichyMarholT − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match37.052.0−15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTichyMarholBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 202 vs 125 / 24648%50.8%97 / 202 vs 125 / 246Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.540.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarholTichy 1.83/Marhol 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Marhol · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Marhol won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 24 · 19:30J. Tichy3756111232J. Marhol521111910113
J. Tichy10
WSep 23 · 19:30J. Botka2.25111110862J. Tichy1.57891211113LSep 23 · 18:00J. Tichy2.0091141162J. Juppa1.73116116113LSep 14 · 20:43J. Tichy3.753111371Z. Kuksa1.2511715113LSep 14 · 19:45Z. Kuksa1.361111113J. Tichy3.006660WSep 14 · 18:45P. Maly1.6712101012122J. Tichy2.1010121210143WSep 14 · 17:15T. Bertho1.735960J. Tichy2.001111113LSep 7 · 20:13J. Tichy2.63811371Z. Kuksa1.4411811113WSep 7 · 19:45V. Toman1.91118981J. Tichy1.8081111113LSep 7 · 18:45Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Tichy2.004750LSep 7 · 17:15T. Bertho1.83911116113J. Tichy1.8311731152
J. Marhol10
LSep 23 · 20:00J. Juppa1.531111113J. Marhol2.387870WSep 23 · 17:30J. Botka1.83119781J. Marhol1.8391111113LSep 13 · 11:30L. Hendrych1.7391111113J. Marhol2.00117771WSep 13 · 11:00J. Marhol2.00118411113F. Kubos1.7361111572WSep 13 · 10:00J. Marhol2.6391111113J. Juppa1.44116931LSep 12 · 16:29J. Hanacek2.0091113113J. Marhol1.731181181LSep 12 · 14:30J. Marhol1.50115971J. Hanacek2.506111183LSep 12 · 13:30J. Marhol2.007111251F. Kubos1.73111310103WSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:15J. Marhol2.00812521M. Vana1.73111011113
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