TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Lukas Velicka vs Dalimil Machander 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Lukas Velicka
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111012117711––
Dalimil Machander
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLukas Velicka above · Dalimil Machander below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 77 set 4, 7-11
77 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Velicka 0–1 Dalimil Machander Lukas Velicka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Machander beat Velicka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Machander)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVelicka 2.20 / Machander 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Machander)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13185131
Velicka2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 25 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back25% 9 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Machander1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 42 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it73% 32 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVelicka0wins
AwayMachander1wins
Machander leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVelickaMachanderV − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.044.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVelickaMachanderBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 213 vs 173 / 37752.1%45.9%111 / 213 vs 173 / 377Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.640.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MachanderVelicka 2.20/Machander 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Machander · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Machander won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 23 · 14:30L. Velicka35136971D. Machander44111111113
L. Velicka10
WSep 23 · 16:30P. Smetka1.73116791L. Velicka2.0091111113WSep 23 · 15:30L. Velicka1.911111113R. Vavrecka1.806790LSep 23 · 14:30D. Machander1.80111111113L. Velicka1.91136971LSep 20 · 21:12M. Volny1.2512511113L. Velicka3.751011591LSep 20 · 20:30L. Velicka2.3810121111112M. Volny1.53121496133LSep 20 · 19:00L. Velicka1.918560V. Cerny1.801111113LSep 20 · 18:00D. Oborny1.611111133L. Velicka2.2088110LSep 11 · 21:29L. Velicka1.6711471692M. Blejchar2.108111114113WSep 11 · 20:00L. Velicka1.801111314113R. Adam1.91913111252WSep 11 · 19:30P. Osvald2.10118681L. Velicka1.6781111113
D. Machander10
LSep 23 · 16:00R. Vavrecka1.8071112113D. Machander1.911151091WSep 23 · 15:00P. Smetka2.10871161D. Machander1.6711114113WSep 23 · 14:30D. Machander1.80111111113L. Velicka1.91136971WSep 22 · 08:58D. Machander2.10811116113S. Byrtus1.6711681192LSep 22 · 08:30A. Rinka1.501211113D. Machander2.5010940WSep 22 · 07:30D. Machander2.20115811113S. Byrtus1.6171111972LSep 22 · 06:30P. Danko1.571111113D. Machander2.256890LSep 20 · 09:17D. Oborny1.4011117113D. Machander2.75871171LSep 20 · 08:30M. Heczko1.61111199113D. Machander2.2079111192LSep 20 · 07:30D. Machander2.2010139101A. Rinka1.61121111123
Upcoming Matches
L. Velicka
D. Machander
Nothing scheduled
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