TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Marek Volny
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210511115119––
Lukas Velicka
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMarek Volny above · Lukas Velicka below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9
74 points played in total.
H2H Marek Volny 6–1 Lukas Velicka Lukas Velicka has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Volny beat Velicka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Volny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volny form (20%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolny 1.25 / Velicka 3.75
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Volny)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13166667
Volny1.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 57 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it86% 43 of 50
Velicka3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 25 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back28% 9 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVolny6wins
AwayVelicka1wins
2 of 7 to a deciderVolny leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolny100%5 of 5
AwayVelickan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volny5Velicka2n = 7Volny took 5 of 7
S2Volny4Velicka3n = 7Volny took 4 of 7
S3Volny5Velicka2n = 7Volny took 5 of 7
S4Volny3Velicka3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricVolnyVelickaVolny − VelickaBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match43.038.9+4.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolnyVelickaBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 183 vs 109 / 20951.4%52.2%94 / 183 vs 109 / 209Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolnyVolny 1.25/Velicka 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Volny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 20 · 20:30M. Volny54121496133L. Velicka5510121111112
WAug 10 · 20:00M. Volny44111111113L. Velicka31413591
WJul 27 · 19:00M. Volny44111111113L. Velicka33613681
LJul 22 · 19:30M. Volny376811121L. Velicka4311117143
WJul 7 · 20:30M. Volny341211113L. Velicka2310580
WJul 1 · 21:30M. Volny4391111123L. Velicka391199101
WJul 1 · 18:00M. Volny45111157113L. Velicka4889111192
M. Volny10
WSep 20 · 20:30L. Velicka2.3810121111112M. Volny1.53121496133LSep 20 · 19:30M. Volny1.679680D. Oborny2.101111113LSep 20 · 18:30V. Cerny2.63121296113M. Volny1.441010111192LSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551LSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:00A. Rinka1.67941111113M. Volny2.1011116582LSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny1.8071090R. Vavrecka1.911112113LSep 3 · 13:02A. Rinka1.721111113M. Volny2.007660LSep 3 · 12:30M. Volny1.831269101A. Rinka1.83101111123LSep 3 · 11:00M. Volny2.00111011582M. Heczko1.73612811113
L. Velicka10
LSep 20 · 20:30L. Velicka2.3810121111112M. Volny1.53121496133LSep 20 · 19:00L. Velicka1.918560V. Cerny1.801111113LSep 20 · 18:00D. Oborny1.611111133L. Velicka2.2088110LSep 11 · 21:29L. Velicka1.6711471692M. Blejchar2.108111114113WSep 11 · 20:00L. Velicka1.801111314113R. Adam1.91913111252WSep 11 · 19:30P. Osvald2.10118681L. Velicka1.6781111113WSep 11 · 18:00L. Velicka1.7311811113M. Blejchar2.00711741LSep 8 · 21:29R. Vavrecka1.9191111113L. Velicka1.80116461WSep 8 · 20:00R. Vavrecka1.8312871172L. Velicka1.831011115113WSep 8 · 19:00T. Milota2.38651161L. Velicka1.5311116113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.