TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Lukas Velicka
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511611––––
Vojtech Cerny
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:16 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeVojtech Cerny to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Velicka above · Vojtech Cerny below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 52 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Vojtech Cerny at 54.3%
52 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Velicka 1–1 Vojtech Cerny Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Cerny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Velicka 1531 vs Cerny 1582
Cerny
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Velicka 60% vs Cerny 80%
Cerny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Velicka 60% vs Cerny 80%
Cerny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Velicka -2 · Cerny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cerny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cerny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVelicka 1.91 / Cerny 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Cerny)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160519
Velicka1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 25 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back28% 9 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Cerny1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 24 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it69% 18 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVelicka1wins
AwayCerny1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricVelickaCernyV − CBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match33.532.5+1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVelickaCernyBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 207 vs 51 / 10252.7%50%109 / 207 vs 51 / 102Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernyVelicka 1.91/Cerny 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Cerny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cerny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 13 · 20:00L. Velicka44101111123V. Cerny321273101
LJul 12 · 19:00L. Velicka237880V. Cerny331111113
L. Velicka10
LSep 20 · 18:00D. Oborny1.611111133L. Velicka2.2088110LSep 11 · 21:29L. Velicka1.6711471692M. Blejchar2.108111114113WSep 11 · 20:00L. Velicka1.801111314113R. Adam1.91913111252WSep 11 · 19:30P. Osvald2.10118681L. Velicka1.6781111113WSep 11 · 18:00L. Velicka1.7311811113M. Blejchar2.00711741LSep 8 · 21:29R. Vavrecka1.9191111113L. Velicka1.80116461WSep 8 · 20:00R. Vavrecka1.8312871172L. Velicka1.831011115113WSep 8 · 19:00T. Milota2.38651161L. Velicka1.5311116113LSep 8 · 18:30L. Velicka1.7341111892R. Adam2.00116711113WSep 7 · 16:59O. Hradil1.61111181192L. Velicka2.20138113113
V. Cerny10
WSep 20 · 18:30V. Cerny2.63121296113M. Volny1.441010111192LSep 17 · 21:30V. Cerny1.7311661192V. Adamczyk2.00911116113WSep 17 · 20:30V. Adamczyk1.73611891V. Cerny2.0011511113WSep 17 · 19:30V. Cerny2.63116128113V. Zidek1.44611101142WSep 17 · 18:30D. Oborny1.834850V. Cerny1.831111113WSep 7 · 17:29V. Cerny1.441111133M. Blejchar2.6364110WSep 7 · 16:00V. Cerny1.67911911113R. Guliak2.1011911992WSep 7 · 15:30M. Blejchar2.257240V. Cerny1.571111113WSep 7 · 14:00V. Cerny1.831611113P. Hanel1.8314660LSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113
Upcoming Matches
L. Velicka
V. Cerny
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.