TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139328
Played Sep 17Finished
Dominik Oborny
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411811511––––
Vojtech Cerny
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:29 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeVojtech Cerny to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Oborny above · Vojtech Cerny below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 50 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Vojtech Cerny at 60.7%
50 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Oborny 1–1 Vojtech Cerny Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:29What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Cerny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Oborny 1631 vs Cerny 1600
Oborny
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oborny 40% vs Cerny 80%
Cerny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oborny 50% vs Cerny 80%
Cerny
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oborny +1 · Cerny +4
Cerny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oborny) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cerny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOborny 1.83 / Cerny 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Oborny)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139328
Oborny1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Cerny1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeOborny1wins
AwayCerny1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricObornyCernyO − CBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match33.532.5+1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObornyCernyBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 614 vs 48 / 9852%49%319 / 614 vs 48 / 98Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObornyOborny 1.83/Cerny 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Oborny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cerny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 3 · 06:00D. Oborny43111011113V. Cerny31612491
LNov 29 · 15:00D. Oborny2476110V. Cerny341111123
D. Oborny10
LSep 17 · 19:00V. Adamczyk1.9111136133D. Oborny1.8081111111WSep 14 · 17:03D. Oborny1.8311611113D. Machander1.83711981LSep 14 · 16:30S. Byrtus2.251215134113D. Oborny1.571017111172WSep 14 · 15:30D. Oborny2.501112113D. Machander1.5091070LSep 14 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.671191211113D. Oborny2.1081114272LSep 8 · 08:58M. Heczko2.001111610113D. Oborny1.7399111272LSep 8 · 08:30D. Oborny1.80971171M. Heczko1.9111118113LSep 8 · 07:00D. Oborny1.91115591J. Levicky1.8061111113WSep 8 · 06:00P. Danko1.831211881D. Oborny1.8314811113WSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny1.80116911113M. Heczko1.9191111892
V. Cerny10
WSep 7 · 17:29V. Cerny1.441111133M. Blejchar2.6364110WSep 7 · 16:00V. Cerny1.67911911113R. Guliak2.1011911992WSep 7 · 15:30M. Blejchar2.257240V. Cerny1.571111113WSep 7 · 14:00V. Cerny1.831611113P. Hanel1.8314660LSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121WSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113WSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 3 · 09:03V. Cerny1.531011119113V. Bosak2.3812451192LSep 3 · 08:30F. Zurek3.75911711113V. Cerny1.2511711962
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