TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140426
Played Sep 17Finished
Vladimir Adamczyk
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11813116111311––
Dominik Oborny
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDominik Oborny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladimir Adamczyk above · Dominik Oborny below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 84 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Dominik Oborny at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Adamczyk 5–5 Dominik Oborny Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:13What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Oborny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamczyk 1591 vs Oborny 1606
Oborny
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamczyk 60% vs Oborny 40%
Adamczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamczyk 50% vs Oborny 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamczyk +3 · Oborny -1
Adamczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oborny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oborny form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 1.91 / Oborny 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Oborny)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140426
Adamczyk1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 20 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back32% 11 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Oborny1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 91 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it85% 78 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamczyk5wins
AwayOborny5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamczyk100%4 of 4
AwayOborny83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamczyk4Oborny6n = 10Oborny took 6 of 10
S2Adamczyk5Oborny5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamczyk6Oborny4n = 10Adamczyk took 6 of 10
S4Adamczyk3Oborny4n = 7Oborny took 4 of 7
S5Adamczyk2Oborny1n = 3Adamczyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamczykObornyA − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.838.3+0.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykObornyBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 193 vs 319 / 61554.9%51.9%106 / 193 vs 319 / 615Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObornyAdamczyk 1.91/Oborny 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Oborny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 08:58V. Adamczyk377101281D. Oborny44111210113
LAug 24 · 08:30V. Adamczyk26451161D. Oborny4111118113
WAug 19 · 18:00V. Adamczyk49111197113D. Oborny4688111182
LAug 5 · 20:58V. Adamczyk195590D. Oborny331111113
LAug 5 · 19:00V. Adamczyk31841181D. Oborny4011117113
LJun 8 · 19:00V. Adamczyk511111811102D. Oborny48135117123
WJun 7 · 08:00V. Adamczyk3961111113D. Oborny33118771
WMay 13 · 20:00V. Adamczyk5911111511113D. Oborny5171317592
WMay 9 · 06:00V. Adamczyk331111113D. Oborny115420
WMar 23 · 07:00V. Adamczyk442211113D. Oborny3620970
V. Adamczyk10
WSep 17 · 18:00V. Zidek1.8097111192V. Adamczyk1.91111157113WSep 13 · 21:00V. Adamczyk1.671111117113R. Vavrecka2.1013981162WSep 13 · 20:00V. Adamczyk1.731211113R. Vavrecka2.0010790LSep 13 · 19:30M. Heczko2.0011115113V. Adamczyk1.73981151LSep 13 · 18:00V. Adamczyk1.8398111142V. Zidek1.83111187113LSep 11 · 12:59P. Slavik1.80118117123V. Adamczyk1.91711611102LSep 11 · 12:00V. Adamczyk1.6171111862J. Levicky2.20113511113LSep 11 · 11:30P. Slavik2.031111113V. Adamczyk1.624870WSep 11 · 10:00V. Adamczyk1.5311111211113M. Heczko2.3891314582WAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271
D. Oborny10
WSep 17 · 20:00V. Zidek1.4451151182D. Oborny2.63118119113LSep 17 · 18:30D. Oborny1.834850V. Cerny1.831111113WSep 14 · 17:03D. Oborny1.8311611113D. Machander1.83711981LSep 14 · 16:30S. Byrtus2.251215134113D. Oborny1.571017111172WSep 14 · 15:30D. Oborny2.501112113D. Machander1.5091070LSep 14 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.671191211113D. Oborny2.1081114272LSep 8 · 08:58M. Heczko2.001111610113D. Oborny1.7399111272LSep 8 · 08:30D. Oborny1.80971171M. Heczko1.9111118113LSep 8 · 07:00D. Oborny1.91115591J. Levicky1.8061111113WSep 8 · 06:00P. Danko1.831211881D. Oborny1.8314811113
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