TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140321
Played Sep 17Finished
Vaclav Zidek
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511118511119811
Dominik Oborny
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:51 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeVaclav Zidek to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Zidek above · Dominik Oborny below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 90 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Vaclav Zidek at 61.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Zidek 19–10 Dominik Oborny Dominik Oborny has won 10 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:51What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zidek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-10 in 29
Zidek
Wrong
gap of 9 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zidek 1606 vs Oborny 1605
Zidek
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zidek 60% vs Oborny 40%
Zidek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zidek 40% vs Oborny 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zidek -2 · Oborny -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Zidek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZidek 1.44 / Oborny 2.63
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Oborny)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140321
Zidek1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 57 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Oborny2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 46 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZidek7wins
AwayOborny3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZidek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZidek83.3%5 of 6
AwayOborny50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zidek6Oborny4n = 10Zidek took 6 of 10
S2Zidek5Oborny5n = 10split evenly
S3Zidek8Oborny2n = 10Zidek took 8 of 10
S4Zidek5Oborny2n = 7Zidek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZidekObornyZ − OBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.432.3+7.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZidekObornyBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 416 vs 320 / 61755.8%51.9%232 / 416 vs 320 / 617Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZidekZidek 1.44/Oborny 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Zidek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Oborny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 20:00V. Zidek4051151182D. Oborny50118119113
WAug 5 · 18:00V. Zidek43111011113D. Oborny30912541
WAug 3 · 19:30V. Zidek43111011113D. Oborny27912421
LJul 26 · 20:00V. Zidek381281171D. Oborny4214116113
WJul 25 · 18:00V. Zidek351111133D. Oborny2045110
WJul 4 · 12:00V. Zidek531191111113D. Oborny4413115872
WJul 4 · 09:30V. Zidek331111113D. Oborny149230
WJul 4 · 06:00V. Zidek331111113D. Oborny227960
LJun 24 · 21:30V. Zidek34118871D. Oborny4071111113
WJun 24 · 18:30V. Zidek4291111113D. Oborny34118781
V. Zidek10
WSep 17 · 20:59D. Oborny2.20512991V. Zidek1.61111011113LSep 17 · 19:30V. Cerny2.63116128113V. Zidek1.44611101142LSep 17 · 18:00V. Zidek1.8097111192V. Adamczyk1.91111157113WSep 13 · 21:29V. Zidek2.381111113M. Heczko1.535790WSep 13 · 20:30V. Zidek3.001111113M. Heczko1.364660WSep 13 · 19:00V. Zidek2.6312511113R. Vavrecka1.441011671WSep 13 · 18:00V. Adamczyk1.8398111142V. Zidek1.83111187113LSep 11 · 09:09P. Slavik2.75101111113V. Zidek1.40125981LSep 11 · 08:30V. Zidek1.83111111882P. Slavik1.83138611113LSep 11 · 07:00V. Zidek2.75611361M. Heczko1.4011911113
D. Oborny10
LSep 17 · 20:59D. Oborny2.20512991V. Zidek1.61111011113LSep 17 · 19:00V. Adamczyk1.9111136133D. Oborny1.8081111111LSep 17 · 18:30D. Oborny1.834850V. Cerny1.831111113WSep 14 · 17:03D. Oborny1.8311611113D. Machander1.83711981LSep 14 · 16:30S. Byrtus2.251215134113D. Oborny1.571017111172WSep 14 · 15:30D. Oborny2.501112113D. Machander1.5091070LSep 14 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.671191211113D. Oborny2.1081114272LSep 8 · 08:58M. Heczko2.001111610113D. Oborny1.7399111272LSep 8 · 08:30D. Oborny1.80971171M. Heczko1.9111118113LSep 8 · 07:00D. Oborny1.91115591J. Levicky1.8061111113
Upcoming Matches
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D. Oborny
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