TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120834
Played Sep 13Finished
Vaclav Zidek
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116116––––
Marcel Heczko
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:28 and never touched — 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeMarcel Heczko to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Zidek above · Marcel Heczko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 49 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Marcel Heczko at 75.1%
49 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Zidek 2–13 Marcel Heczko Vaclav Zidek has won 2 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Heczko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-13 in 15
Heczko
Wrong
gap of 11 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zidek 1578 vs Heczko 1676
Heczko
Wrong
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zidek 40% vs Heczko 80%
Heczko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zidek 20% vs Heczko 70%
Heczko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zidek +2 · Heczko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Heczko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZidek 3.00 / Heczko 1.36
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Heczko)+6.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120834
Zidek3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 23 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back20% 7 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Heczko1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 63 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it81% 46 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZidek1wins
AwayHeczko9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHeczko leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZidekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHeczko100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zidek2Heczko8n = 10Heczko took 8 of 10
S2Zidek3Heczko7n = 10Heczko took 7 of 10
S3Zidek2Heczko8n = 10Heczko took 8 of 10
S4Zidek3Heczko3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZidekHeczkoZ − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match29.338.0−8.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZidekHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 419 vs 286 / 59455.9%48.2%234 / 419 vs 286 / 594Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoZidek 3.00/Heczko 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.1%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zidek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 07:00V. Zidek26611361M. Heczko4211911113
LJul 29 · 18:00V. Zidek248790M. Heczko331111113
LJul 26 · 19:30V. Zidek144370M. Heczko331111113
LJul 4 · 07:00V. Zidek49911111172M. Heczko50111387113
LJun 16 · 18:30V. Zidek4361171182M. Heczko45115117113
LJun 16 · 16:58V. Zidek27116641M. Heczko4181111113
WJun 16 · 16:30V. Zidek3711114113M. Heczko29561171
LMar 19 · 20:30V. Zidek196940M. Heczko331111113
LJan 23 · 21:00V. Zidek198740M. Heczko331111113
LJan 15 · 09:30V. Zidek35881181M. Heczko4111118113
V. Zidek10
WSep 13 · 19:00V. Zidek2.6312511113R. Vavrecka1.441011671WSep 13 · 18:00V. Adamczyk1.8398111142V. Zidek1.83111187113LSep 11 · 09:09P. Slavik2.75101111113V. Zidek1.40125981LSep 11 · 08:30V. Zidek1.83111111882P. Slavik1.83138611113LSep 11 · 07:00V. Zidek2.75611361M. Heczko1.4011911113LSep 11 · 06:00J. Levicky2.7511411133V. Zidek1.408115111LAug 30 · 20:59A. Walek1.631111143V. Zidek2.1385120LAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871LAug 30 · 19:30V. Zidek2.1011912462S. Byrtus1.679111011113LAug 30 · 18:30A. Walek1.911411113V. Zidek1.8012340
M. Heczko10
WSep 13 · 19:30M. Heczko2.0011115113V. Adamczyk1.73981151WSep 13 · 18:30R. Vavrecka1.6168121192M. Heczko2.201111108113LSep 11 · 13:30M. Heczko1.90581151J. Levicky1.8011118113WSep 11 · 12:30M. Heczko1.411111113P. Slavik2.509770WSep 11 · 11:00M. Heczko1.8311411113J. Levicky1.83711441LSep 11 · 10:00V. Adamczyk1.5311111211113M. Heczko2.3891314582WSep 11 · 09:29J. Levicky1.8357111162M. Heczko1.83111197113LSep 11 · 08:00J. Levicky1.8011113113M. Heczko1.91971141WSep 11 · 07:00V. Zidek2.75611361M. Heczko1.4011911113WSep 11 · 06:30M. Heczko2.201111113P. Slavik1.617860
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