TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109807
Played Sep 11Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117411114114––
Jakub Levicky
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Levicky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 63 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Jakub Levicky at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 42–50 Jakub Levicky Marcel Heczko has won 42 of their 92 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 2h before this match
Heczko beat Levicky 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Levicky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-50 in 92
Levicky
Wrong
gap of 8 in 92, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1616 vs Levicky 1674
Levicky
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 60% vs Levicky 80%
Levicky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 60% vs Levicky 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko -1 · Levicky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Levicky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 1.83 / Levicky 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Levicky)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109807
Heczko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Levicky1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko4wins
AwayLevicky6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevicky leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko75%3 of 4
AwayLevicky83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko4Levicky6n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S2Heczko4Levicky6n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S3Heczko7Levicky3n = 10Heczko took 7 of 10
S4Heczko5Levicky5n = 10split evenly
S5Heczko1Levicky3n = 4Levicky took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoLevickyH − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.940.5+1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime285 / 594 vs 452 / 88848%50.9%285 / 594 vs 452 / 888Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyHeczko 1.83/Levicky 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 11:00M. Heczko—11411113J. Levicky—711441
WSep 11 · 09:29M. Heczko—111197113J. Levicky—57111162
LSep 11 · 08:00M. Heczko—971141J. Levicky—11113113
LSep 8 · 12:30M. Heczko—12116972J. Levicky—1031111113
LSep 8 · 06:30M. Heczko—81191182J. Levicky—118115113
WSep 7 · 06:30M. Heczko—11912113J. Levicky—4111081
LAug 31 · 19:00M. Heczko—67121192J. Levicky—1111107113
WAug 19 · 16:30M. Heczko—51411113J. Levicky—1112461
LAug 18 · 20:30M. Heczko—14913121J. Levicky—161111143
LAug 6 · 20:30M. Heczko—5711101J. Levicky—11119123
M. Heczko10
LSep 11 · 13:30M. Heczko1.90581151J. Levicky1.8011118113WSep 11 · 12:30M. Heczko1.411111113P. Slavik2.509770LSep 11 · 10:00V. Adamczyk1.5311111211113M. Heczko2.3891314582WSep 11 · 09:29J. Levicky1.8357111162M. Heczko1.83111197113LSep 11 · 08:00J. Levicky1.8011113113M. Heczko1.91971141WSep 11 · 07:00V. Zidek2.75611361M. Heczko1.4011911113WSep 11 · 06:30M. Heczko2.201111113P. Slavik1.617860WSep 8 · 12:59M. Heczko2.751111113J. Snr1.407140LSep 8 · 12:30J. Levicky1.731031111113M. Heczko2.0012116972WSep 8 · 11:30M. Heczko2.7511711113J. Cabak1.40911791
J. Levicky10
WSep 11 · 13:30M. Heczko1.90581151J. Levicky1.8011118113WSep 11 · 12:00V. Adamczyk1.6171111862J. Levicky2.20113511113WSep 11 · 10:30J. Levicky1.40115118113P. Slavik2.7581181142LSep 11 · 09:29J. Levicky1.8357111162M. Heczko1.83111197113WSep 11 · 08:00J. Levicky1.8011113113M. Heczko1.91971141WSep 11 · 07:30P. Slavik1.835640J. Levicky1.831111113WSep 11 · 06:00J. Levicky2.7511411133V. Zidek1.408115111LSep 8 · 13:30J. Cabak1.4611611113J. Levicky2.37711861WSep 8 · 12:30J. Levicky1.731031111113M. Heczko2.0012116972WSep 8 · 11:00J. Levicky2.0012139113J. Snr1.7310111151
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