TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109324
Played Sep 11Finished
Jakub Levicky
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1184111151311––
Vaclav Zidek
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:39 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Levicky to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Levicky above · Vaclav Zidek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 74 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Jakub Levicky at 54.2%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Levicky 21–39 Vaclav Zidek Jakub Levicky has won 21 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:39What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Zidek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-39 in 60
Zidek
Wrong
gap of 18 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1670 vs Zidek 1560
Levicky
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 40% vs Zidek 0%
Levicky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 50% vs Zidek 20%
Levicky
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky -1 · Zidek -5
Zidek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Zidek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zidek form (0%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 2.75 / Zidek 1.40
Signal prob.37% / 64%
Edge (Levicky)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109324
Levicky2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 71 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Zidek1.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 63 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it80% 47 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevicky2wins
AwayZidek8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZidek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevicky33.3%2 of 6
AwayZidek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levicky6Zidek4n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S2Levicky2Zidek8n = 10Zidek took 8 of 10
S3Levicky1Zidek9n = 10Zidek took 9 of 10
S4Levicky3Zidek4n = 7Zidek took 4 of 7
S5Levicky1Zidek2n = 3Zidek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevickyZidekL − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.140.5−8.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyZidekBasisWin rate · lifetime452 / 887 vs 232 / 41751%55.6%452 / 887 vs 232 / 417Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZidekLevicky 2.75/Zidek 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.5%
Zidek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 06:00J. Levicky—11411133V. Zidek—8115111
LAug 5 · 21:30J. Levicky—816681V. Zidek—111411113
LAug 5 · 19:30J. Levicky—7760V. Zidek—1111113
LAug 3 · 20:00J. Levicky—125471V. Zidek—101111113
LJul 29 · 20:00J. Levicky—118531V. Zidek—51111113
LJul 4 · 13:30J. Levicky—5550V. Zidek—1111113
LJul 4 · 11:00J. Levicky—11641142V. Zidek—911114113
LJul 4 · 08:30J. Levicky—113511112V. Zidek—811116133
WJun 27 · 20:00J. Levicky—1111911113V. Zidek—99111342
LJun 24 · 19:30J. Levicky—91140V. Zidek—1113113
J. Levicky10
WSep 11 · 13:30M. Heczko1.90581151J. Levicky1.8011118113WSep 11 · 12:00V. Adamczyk1.6171111862J. Levicky2.20113511113LSep 11 · 11:00M. Heczko1.8311411113J. Levicky1.83711441WSep 11 · 10:30J. Levicky1.40115118113P. Slavik2.7581181142LSep 11 · 09:29J. Levicky1.8357111162M. Heczko1.83111197113WSep 11 · 08:00J. Levicky1.8011113113M. Heczko1.91971141WSep 11 · 07:30P. Slavik1.835640J. Levicky1.831111113LSep 8 · 13:30J. Cabak1.4611611113J. Levicky2.37711861WSep 8 · 12:30J. Levicky1.731031111113M. Heczko2.0012116972WSep 8 · 11:00J. Levicky2.0012139113J. Snr1.7310111151
V. Zidek10
LSep 11 · 09:09P. Slavik2.75101111113V. Zidek1.40125981LSep 11 · 08:30V. Zidek1.83111111882P. Slavik1.83138611113LSep 11 · 07:00V. Zidek2.75611361M. Heczko1.4011911113LAug 30 · 20:59A. Walek1.631111143V. Zidek2.1385120LAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871LAug 30 · 19:30V. Zidek2.1011912462S. Byrtus1.679111011113LAug 30 · 18:30A. Walek1.911411113V. Zidek1.8012340LAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 16:30R. Skacelik1.50111210113V. Zidek2.502101251WAug 30 · 15:30V. Zidek2.001311113E. Rychlik1.7311850
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