TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109803
Played Sep 11Finished
Vaclav Zidek
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119311611––
Marcel Heczko
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:54 and never touched — 77.6% is still 77.6%
Graded at full timeMarcel Heczko to win
77.6%
77.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Zidek above · Marcel Heczko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 68 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Marcel Heczko at 77.6%
68 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Zidek 2–13 Marcel Heczko Vaclav Zidek has won 2 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:54What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Heczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-13 in 15
Heczko
Correct
gap of 11 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zidek 1586 vs Heczko 1619
Heczko
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zidek 0% vs Heczko 60%
Heczko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zidek 20% vs Heczko 50%
Heczko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zidek -5 · Heczko +2
Zidek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Heczko) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZidek 2.75 / Heczko 1.40
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Heczko)+6.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109803
Zidek2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 28 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Heczko1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 74 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it76% 51 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZidek1wins
AwayHeczko9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHeczko leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZidekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHeczko100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zidek2Heczko8n = 10Heczko took 8 of 10
S2Zidek3Heczko7n = 10Heczko took 7 of 10
S3Zidek2Heczko8n = 10Heczko took 8 of 10
S4Zidek3Heczko3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZidekHeczkoZ − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match29.338.0−8.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZidekHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 415 vs 283 / 59055.9%48%232 / 415 vs 283 / 590Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoZidek 2.75/Heczko 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.6%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 07:00V. Zidek—611361M. Heczko—11911113
LJul 29 · 18:00V. Zidek—8790M. Heczko—1111113
LJul 26 · 19:30V. Zidek—4370M. Heczko—1111113
LJul 4 · 07:00V. Zidek—911111172M. Heczko—111387113
LJun 16 · 18:30V. Zidek—61171182M. Heczko—115117113
LJun 16 · 16:58V. Zidek—116641M. Heczko—81111113
WJun 16 · 16:30V. Zidek—11114113M. Heczko—561171
LMar 19 · 20:30V. Zidek—6940M. Heczko—1111113
LJan 23 · 21:00V. Zidek—8740M. Heczko—1111113
LJan 15 · 09:30V. Zidek—881181M. Heczko—11118113
V. Zidek10
LSep 11 · 06:00J. Levicky2.7511411133V. Zidek1.408115111LAug 30 · 20:59A. Walek1.631111143V. Zidek2.1385120LAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871LAug 30 · 19:30V. Zidek2.1011912462S. Byrtus1.679111011113LAug 30 · 18:30A. Walek1.911411113V. Zidek1.8012340LAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 16:30R. Skacelik1.50111210113V. Zidek2.502101251WAug 30 · 15:30V. Zidek2.001311113E. Rychlik1.7311850LAug 30 · 14:30D. Heczko2.201711113V. Zidek1.6115540WAug 23 · 13:30D. Heczko2.63413118122V. Zidek1.441111611143
M. Heczko10
LSep 11 · 08:00J. Levicky1.8011113113M. Heczko1.91971141WSep 11 · 06:30M. Heczko2.201111113P. Slavik1.617860WSep 8 · 12:59M. Heczko2.751111113J. Snr1.407140LSep 8 · 12:30J. Levicky1.731031111113M. Heczko2.0012116972WSep 8 · 11:30M. Heczko2.7511711113J. Cabak1.40911791LSep 8 · 10:30J. Snr1.501111113M. Heczko2.505880WSep 8 · 08:58M. Heczko2.001111610113D. Oborny1.7399111272WSep 8 · 08:30D. Oborny1.80971171M. Heczko1.9111118113LSep 8 · 07:30M. Heczko2.5061171162P. Danko1.50119116113LSep 8 · 06:30J. Levicky1.67118115113M. Heczko2.1081191182
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