TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099020
Played Sep 8Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117111114––––
Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 45 set 3, 11-4
45 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 0–1 Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr Marcel Heczko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Snr beat Heczko 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Snr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 2.75 / Snr 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Snr)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099020
Heczko2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 66 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Snr1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 57 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it74% 42 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHeczko0wins
AwaySnr1wins
Snr leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricHeczkoSnrH − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 587 vs 123 / 24347.7%50.6%280 / 587 vs 123 / 243Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnrHeczko 2.75/Snr 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 8 · 10:30M. Heczko—5880J. Snr—1111113
M. Heczko10
LSep 8 · 12:30J. Levicky1.731031111113M. Heczko2.0012116972WSep 8 · 11:30M. Heczko2.7511711113J. Cabak1.40911791LSep 8 · 10:30J. Snr1.501111113M. Heczko2.505880WSep 8 · 08:58M. Heczko2.001111610113D. Oborny1.7399111272WSep 8 · 08:30D. Oborny1.80971171M. Heczko1.9111118113LSep 8 · 07:30M. Heczko2.5061171162P. Danko1.50119116113LSep 8 · 06:30J. Levicky1.67118115113M. Heczko2.1081191182LSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny1.80116911113M. Heczko1.9191111892LSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120
J. Snr10
LSep 8 · 12:00J. Cabak1.611112123J. Snr2.20510100LSep 8 · 11:00J. Levicky2.0012139113J. Snr1.7310111151WSep 8 · 10:30J. Snr1.501111113M. Heczko2.505880WSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113WSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162LSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971LSep 1 · 09:00L. Martinak1.9181214113J. Snr1.8011101271LSep 1 · 08:30J. Cabak1.831111143J. Snr1.8375120WSep 1 · 07:30J. Snr1.8011112113L. Martinak1.91691171
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.