TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115062
Played Sep 11Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511811118511––
Jakub Levicky
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Levicky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jakub Levicky at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 42–50 Jakub Levicky Marcel Heczko has won 42 of their 92 meetings.
They have already met 3 times today · last one 3h before this match
Heczko beat Levicky 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Levicky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-50 in 92
Levicky
Correct
gap of 8 in 92, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1657 vs Levicky 1681
Levicky
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 60% vs Levicky 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 70% vs Levicky 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko +2 · Levicky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Levicky)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 1.90 / Levicky 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Levicky)+2.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115062
Heczko1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 69 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Levicky1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 97 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it80% 72 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko4wins
AwayLevicky6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevicky leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko75%3 of 4
AwayLevicky83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko4Levicky6n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S2Heczko4Levicky6n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S3Heczko7Levicky3n = 10Heczko took 7 of 10
S4Heczko5Levicky5n = 10split evenly
S5Heczko1Levicky3n = 4Levicky took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoLevickyH − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.940.5+1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime286 / 595 vs 453 / 88948.1%51%286 / 595 vs 453 / 889Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyHeczko 1.90/Levicky 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 11:00M. Heczko—11411113J. Levicky—711441
WSep 11 · 09:29M. Heczko—111197113J. Levicky—57111162
LSep 11 · 08:00M. Heczko—971141J. Levicky—11113113
LSep 8 · 12:30M. Heczko—12116972J. Levicky—1031111113
LSep 8 · 06:30M. Heczko—81191182J. Levicky—118115113
WSep 7 · 06:30M. Heczko—11912113J. Levicky—4111081
LAug 31 · 19:00M. Heczko—67121192J. Levicky—1111107113
WAug 19 · 16:30M. Heczko—51411113J. Levicky—1112461
LAug 18 · 20:30M. Heczko—14913121J. Levicky—161111143
LAug 6 · 20:30M. Heczko—5711101J. Levicky—11119123
M. Heczko10
WSep 11 · 12:30M. Heczko1.411111113P. Slavik2.509770WSep 11 · 11:00M. Heczko1.8311411113J. Levicky1.83711441LSep 11 · 10:00V. Adamczyk1.5311111211113M. Heczko2.3891314582WSep 11 · 09:29J. Levicky1.8357111162M. Heczko1.83111197113LSep 11 · 08:00J. Levicky1.8011113113M. Heczko1.91971141WSep 11 · 07:00V. Zidek2.75611361M. Heczko1.4011911113WSep 11 · 06:30M. Heczko2.201111113P. Slavik1.617860WSep 8 · 12:59M. Heczko2.751111113J. Snr1.407140LSep 8 · 12:30J. Levicky1.731031111113M. Heczko2.0012116972WSep 8 · 11:30M. Heczko2.7511711113J. Cabak1.40911791
J. Levicky10
WSep 11 · 12:00V. Adamczyk1.6171111862J. Levicky2.20113511113LSep 11 · 11:00M. Heczko1.8311411113J. Levicky1.83711441WSep 11 · 10:30J. Levicky1.40115118113P. Slavik2.7581181142LSep 11 · 09:29J. Levicky1.8357111162M. Heczko1.83111197113WSep 11 · 08:00J. Levicky1.8011113113M. Heczko1.91971141WSep 11 · 07:30P. Slavik1.835640J. Levicky1.831111113WSep 11 · 06:00J. Levicky2.7511411133V. Zidek1.408115111LSep 8 · 13:30J. Cabak1.4611611113J. Levicky2.37711861WSep 8 · 12:30J. Levicky1.731031111113M. Heczko2.0012116972WSep 8 · 11:00J. Levicky2.0012139113J. Snr1.7310111151
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