TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109810
Played Sep 11Finished
Vladimir Adamczyk
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11911131214115118
Marcel Heczko
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:56 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeVladimir Adamczyk to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Adamczyk above · Marcel Heczko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 105 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Vladimir Adamczyk at 58.7%
105 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Adamczyk 7–2 Marcel Heczko Marcel Heczko has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:56What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Adamczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Adamczyk
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamczyk 1576 vs Heczko 1613
Heczko
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamczyk 40% vs Heczko 80%
Heczko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamczyk 40% vs Heczko 70%
Heczko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamczyk +1 · Heczko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Adamczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 1.53 / Heczko 2.38
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Adamczyk)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109810
Adamczyk1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 62 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it81% 52 of 64
Heczko2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 69 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeAdamczyk7wins
AwayHeczko2wins
2 of 9 to a deciderAdamczyk leads 7–2, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamczyk100%5 of 5
AwayHeczko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamczyk5Heczko4n = 9Adamczyk took 5 of 9
S2Adamczyk5Heczko4n = 9Adamczyk took 5 of 9
S3Adamczyk7Heczko2n = 9Adamczyk took 7 of 9
S4Adamczyk3Heczko2n = 5Adamczyk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricAdamczykHeczkoA − HBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match38.633.4+5.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 184 vs 284 / 59255.4%48%102 / 184 vs 284 / 592Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamczykAdamczyk 1.53/Heczko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.2%
Adamczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 19 · 19:30V. Adamczyk—1151111113M. Heczko—61113642
WAug 15 · 18:00V. Adamczyk—1111113M. Heczko—9370
WJun 8 · 20:58V. Adamczyk—311115123M. Heczko—118711102
LJun 8 · 18:30V. Adamczyk—141150M. Heczko—1613113
WJun 5 · 19:00V. Adamczyk—1111113M. Heczko—9940
LMay 23 · 20:30V. Adamczyk—9121191M. Heczko—11146113
WApr 28 · 06:00V. Adamczyk—101111113M. Heczko—127991
WApr 9 · 07:00V. Adamczyk—11911113M. Heczko—711691
WApr 4 · 06:30V. Adamczyk—1211113M. Heczko—10470
V. Adamczyk10
LSep 11 · 12:59P. Slavik1.80118117123V. Adamczyk1.91711611102LSep 11 · 12:00V. Adamczyk1.6171111862J. Levicky2.20113511113LSep 11 · 11:30P. Slavik2.031111113V. Adamczyk1.624870WAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:00V. Adamczyk1.83411481D. Langer1.8311811113WAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113LAug 25 · 18:00V. Adamczyk2.0051112862J. Schwan1.731191011113LAug 24 · 08:58D. Oborny1.73111210113V. Adamczyk2.007101281LAug 24 · 08:30V. Adamczyk1.61451161D. Oborny2.2011118113LAug 24 · 07:00V. Adamczyk1.914850A. Walek1.801111113
M. Heczko10
LSep 11 · 13:30M. Heczko1.90581151J. Levicky1.8011118113WSep 11 · 12:30M. Heczko1.411111113P. Slavik2.509770WSep 11 · 11:00M. Heczko1.8311411113J. Levicky1.83711441WSep 11 · 09:29J. Levicky1.8357111162M. Heczko1.83111197113LSep 11 · 08:00J. Levicky1.8011113113M. Heczko1.91971141WSep 11 · 07:00V. Zidek2.75611361M. Heczko1.4011911113WSep 11 · 06:30M. Heczko2.201111113P. Slavik1.617860WSep 8 · 12:59M. Heczko2.751111113J. Snr1.407140LSep 8 · 12:30J. Levicky1.731031111113M. Heczko2.0012116972WSep 8 · 11:30M. Heczko2.7511711113J. Cabak1.40911791
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