TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120201
Played Sep 13Finished
Radomir Vavrecka
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6118111210118911
Marcel Heczko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:20 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeRadomir Vavrecka to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadomir Vavrecka above · Marcel Heczko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-9
Point 95 set 5, 9-9 — our read held Radomir Vavrecka at 56.0%
95 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Radomir Vavrecka 10–8 Marcel Heczko Marcel Heczko has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 13:20What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vavrecka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-8 in 18
Vavrecka
Wrong
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1547 vs Heczko 1669
Heczko
Correct
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 80% vs Heczko 60%
Vavrecka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 60% vs Heczko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka +1 · Heczko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vavrecka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.61 / Heczko 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Heczko)+1.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120201
Vavrecka1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 38 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it69% 24 of 35
Heczko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 59 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVavrecka8wins
AwayHeczko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVavrecka leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka75%6 of 8
AwayHeczkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka8Heczko2n = 10Vavrecka took 8 of 10
S2Vavrecka7Heczko3n = 10Vavrecka took 7 of 10
S3Vavrecka7Heczko3n = 10Vavrecka took 7 of 10
S4Vavrecka5Heczko3n = 8Vavrecka took 5 of 8
S5Vavrecka1Heczko2n = 3Heczko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVavreckaHeczkoV − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.534.6+7.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 277 vs 284 / 59252%48%144 / 277 vs 284 / 592Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoVavrecka 1.61/Heczko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka3961111113M. Heczko35117891
WJul 26 · 15:30R. Vavrecka4291111113M. Heczko32118671
WJul 21 · 18:00R. Vavrecka331111113M. Heczko143830
WJul 19 · 20:00R. Vavrecka51131211153M. Heczko4511147131
LJul 17 · 21:30R. Vavrecka4811119982M. Heczko47681111113
WJul 17 · 18:30R. Vavrecka531191110123M. Heczko40311412102
WJul 2 · 18:00R. Vavrecka341112113M. Heczko2231090
WMar 15 · 18:28R. Vavrecka4311911123M. Heczko317113101
WMar 15 · 16:30R. Vavrecka4011117113M. Heczko33761191
LFeb 27 · 08:30R. Vavrecka4211119292M. Heczko47861111113
R. Vavrecka10
LSep 13 · 20:00V. Adamczyk1.731211113R. Vavrecka2.0010790LSep 13 · 19:00V. Zidek2.6312511113R. Vavrecka1.441011671WSep 8 · 21:29R. Vavrecka1.9191111113L. Velicka1.80116461LSep 8 · 20:00R. Vavrecka1.8312871172L. Velicka1.831011115113WSep 8 · 19:30R. Adam2.201179111R. Vavrecka1.6141111133WSep 8 · 18:00R. Vavrecka1.401111113T. Milota2.753950WSep 7 · 17:28J. Levicky1.8341211962R. Vavrecka1.831110811113LSep 7 · 16:00R. Vavrecka1.731213471J. Levicky2.00101511113WSep 7 · 15:30O. Hradil2.25118131172R. Vavrecka1.579111113113WSep 7 · 14:00R. Vavrecka1.911011411113L. Velicka1.8012311862
M. Heczko10
WSep 13 · 19:30M. Heczko2.0011115113V. Adamczyk1.73981151LSep 11 · 13:30M. Heczko1.90581151J. Levicky1.8011118113WSep 11 · 12:30M. Heczko1.411111113P. Slavik2.509770WSep 11 · 11:00M. Heczko1.8311411113J. Levicky1.83711441LSep 11 · 10:00V. Adamczyk1.5311111211113M. Heczko2.3891314582WSep 11 · 09:29J. Levicky1.8357111162M. Heczko1.83111197113LSep 11 · 08:00J. Levicky1.8011113113M. Heczko1.91971141WSep 11 · 07:00V. Zidek2.75611361M. Heczko1.4011911113WSep 11 · 06:30M. Heczko2.201111113P. Slavik1.617860WSep 8 · 12:59M. Heczko2.751111113J. Snr1.407140
Upcoming Matches
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M. Heczko
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