TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120193
Played Sep 13Finished
Vladimir Adamczyk
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117119––––
Radomir Vavrecka
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:19 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeVladimir Adamczyk to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Adamczyk above · Radomir Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vladimir Adamczyk at 54.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Adamczyk 6–5 Radomir Vavrecka Radomir Vavrecka has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:19What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Adamczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamczyk 1511 vs Vavrecka 1527
Vavrecka
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamczyk 0% vs Vavrecka 40%
Vavrecka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamczyk 30% vs Vavrecka 60%
Vavrecka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamczyk -5 · Vavrecka -2
Adamczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adamczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamczyk form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 1.73 / Vavrecka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Adamczyk)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120193
Adamczyk1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 59 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it86% 49 of 57
Vavrecka2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 39 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamczyk6wins
AwayVavrecka4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderAdamczyk leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamczyk66.7%4 of 6
AwayVavrecka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamczyk6Vavrecka4n = 10Adamczyk took 6 of 10
S2Adamczyk6Vavrecka4n = 10Adamczyk took 6 of 10
S3Adamczyk5Vavrecka5n = 10split evenly
S4Adamczyk5Vavrecka4n = 9Adamczyk took 5 of 9
S5Adamczyk2Vavrecka3n = 5Vavrecka took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamczykVavreckaA − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.841.0+0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 190 vs 144 / 27954.2%51.6%103 / 190 vs 144 / 279Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamczykAdamczyk 1.73/Vavrecka 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Adamczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk4291111113R. Vavrecka26116271
WAug 25 · 19:30V. Adamczyk43116114113R. Vavrecka4881191192
WAug 12 · 16:30V. Adamczyk4111117123R. Vavrecka303611101
LJul 8 · 20:30V. Adamczyk45811101152R. Vavrecka46117125113
LJun 22 · 07:00V. Adamczyk4511914472R. Vavrecka538111211113
WJun 18 · 21:28V. Adamczyk4011117113R. Vavrecka33871171
LJun 18 · 18:00V. Adamczyk501110111442R. Vavrecka53712716113
WJun 3 · 18:30V. Adamczyk44611115113R. Vavrecka4811991182
LMay 27 · 18:00V. Adamczyk2776140R. Vavrecka381111163
WApr 16 · 21:30V. Adamczyk4111118113R. Vavrecka35881181
V. Adamczyk10
LSep 13 · 19:30M. Heczko2.0011115113V. Adamczyk1.73981151LSep 13 · 18:00V. Adamczyk1.8398111142V. Zidek1.83111187113LSep 11 · 12:59P. Slavik1.80118117123V. Adamczyk1.91711611102LSep 11 · 12:00V. Adamczyk1.6171111862J. Levicky2.20113511113LSep 11 · 11:30P. Slavik2.031111113V. Adamczyk1.624870WSep 11 · 10:00V. Adamczyk1.5311111211113M. Heczko2.3891314582WAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:00V. Adamczyk1.83411481D. Langer1.8311811113WAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113LAug 25 · 18:00V. Adamczyk2.0051112862J. Schwan1.731191011113
R. Vavrecka10
LSep 13 · 19:00V. Zidek2.6312511113R. Vavrecka1.441011671LSep 13 · 18:30R. Vavrecka1.6168121192M. Heczko2.201111108113WSep 8 · 21:29R. Vavrecka1.9191111113L. Velicka1.80116461LSep 8 · 20:00R. Vavrecka1.8312871172L. Velicka1.831011115113WSep 8 · 19:30R. Adam2.201179111R. Vavrecka1.6141111133WSep 8 · 18:00R. Vavrecka1.401111113T. Milota2.753950WSep 7 · 17:28J. Levicky1.8341211962R. Vavrecka1.831110811113LSep 7 · 16:00R. Vavrecka1.731213471J. Levicky2.00101511113LAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113
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