TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13148867
Played Sep 17Finished
Dominik Oborny
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111210911911––
Vaclav Zidek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingDominik Oborny above · Vaclav Zidek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11
78 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Oborny 10–19 Vaclav Zidek Dominik Oborny has won 10 of their 29 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Oborny beat Zidek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Zidek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zidek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOborny 2.20 / Zidek 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Zidek)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13148867
Oborny2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 46 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Zidek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 57 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOborny3wins
AwayZidek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZidek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOborny50%2 of 4
AwayZidek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oborny4Zidek6n = 10Zidek took 6 of 10
S2Oborny5Zidek5n = 10split evenly
S3Oborny2Zidek8n = 10Zidek took 8 of 10
S4Oborny2Zidek5n = 7Zidek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricObornyZidekO − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.339.4−7.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObornyZidekBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 617 vs 232 / 41651.9%55.8%320 / 617 vs 232 / 416Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZidekOborny 2.20/Zidek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Zidek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zidek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 20:00D. Oborny50118119113V. Zidek4051151182
LAug 5 · 18:00D. Oborny30912541V. Zidek43111011113
LAug 3 · 19:30D. Oborny27912421V. Zidek43111011113
WJul 26 · 20:00D. Oborny4214116113V. Zidek381281171
LJul 25 · 18:00D. Oborny2045110V. Zidek351111133
LJul 4 · 12:00D. Oborny4413115872V. Zidek531191111113
LJul 4 · 09:30D. Oborny149230V. Zidek331111113
LJul 4 · 06:00D. Oborny227960V. Zidek331111113
WJun 24 · 21:30D. Oborny4071111113V. Zidek34118871
LJun 24 · 18:30D. Oborny34118781V. Zidek4291111113
D. Oborny10
WSep 17 · 20:00V. Zidek1.4451151182D. Oborny2.63118119113LSep 17 · 19:00V. Adamczyk1.9111136133D. Oborny1.8081111111LSep 17 · 18:30D. Oborny1.834850V. Cerny1.831111113WSep 14 · 17:03D. Oborny1.8311611113D. Machander1.83711981LSep 14 · 16:30S. Byrtus2.251215134113D. Oborny1.571017111172WSep 14 · 15:30D. Oborny2.501112113D. Machander1.5091070LSep 14 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.671191211113D. Oborny2.1081114272LSep 8 · 08:58M. Heczko2.001111610113D. Oborny1.7399111272LSep 8 · 08:30D. Oborny1.80971171M. Heczko1.9111118113LSep 8 · 07:00D. Oborny1.91115591J. Levicky1.8061111113
V. Zidek10
LSep 17 · 20:00V. Zidek1.4451151182D. Oborny2.63118119113LSep 17 · 19:30V. Cerny2.63116128113V. Zidek1.44611101142LSep 17 · 18:00V. Zidek1.8097111192V. Adamczyk1.91111157113WSep 13 · 21:29V. Zidek2.381111113M. Heczko1.535790WSep 13 · 20:30V. Zidek3.001111113M. Heczko1.364660WSep 13 · 19:00V. Zidek2.6312511113R. Vavrecka1.441011671WSep 13 · 18:00V. Adamczyk1.8398111142V. Zidek1.83111187113LSep 11 · 09:09P. Slavik2.75101111113V. Zidek1.40125981LSep 11 · 08:30V. Zidek1.83111111882P. Slavik1.83138611113LSep 11 · 07:00V. Zidek2.75611361M. Heczko1.4011911113
Upcoming Matches
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