TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140596
Played Sep 17Finished
Vojtech Cerny
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1166111210811114
Vaclav Zidek
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:42 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeVaclav Zidek to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVojtech Cerny above · Vaclav Zidek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 90 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Vaclav Zidek at 54.9%
90 points played in total.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:42What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zidek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Cerny 1626 vs Zidek 1628
Zidek
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cerny 100% vs Zidek 80%
Cerny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cerny 90% vs Zidek 40%
Cerny
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cerny +5 · Zidek -1
Cerny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Zidek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zidek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCerny 2.63 / Zidek 1.44
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Zidek)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13140596
Cerny2.63
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 9 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Zidek1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 57 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernyZidekBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 99 vs 232 / 41449.5%56%49 / 99 vs 232 / 414Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZidekCerny 2.63/Zidek 1.44
Miss
What we said
60.1%
Zidek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cerny won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Cerny10
WSep 17 · 20:30V. Adamczyk1.73611891V. Cerny2.0011511113WSep 17 · 18:30D. Oborny1.834850V. Cerny1.831111113WSep 7 · 17:29V. Cerny1.441111133M. Blejchar2.6364110WSep 7 · 16:00V. Cerny1.67911911113R. Guliak2.1011911992WSep 7 · 15:30M. Blejchar2.257240V. Cerny1.571111113WSep 7 · 14:00V. Cerny1.831611113P. Hanel1.8314660LSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121WSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113WSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142
V. Zidek10
WSep 17 · 20:59D. Oborny2.20512991V. Zidek1.61111011113LSep 17 · 20:00V. Zidek1.4451151182D. Oborny2.63118119113LSep 17 · 18:00V. Zidek1.8097111192V. Adamczyk1.91111157113WSep 13 · 21:29V. Zidek2.381111113M. Heczko1.535790WSep 13 · 20:30V. Zidek3.001111113M. Heczko1.364660WSep 13 · 19:00V. Zidek2.6312511113R. Vavrecka1.441011671WSep 13 · 18:00V. Adamczyk1.8398111142V. Zidek1.83111187113LSep 11 · 09:09P. Slavik2.75101111113V. Zidek1.40125981LSep 11 · 08:30V. Zidek1.83111111882P. Slavik1.83138611113LSep 11 · 07:00V. Zidek2.75611361M. Heczko1.4011911113
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