TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140060
Played Sep 17Finished
Vaclav Zidek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911711115117911
Vladimir Adamczyk
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:37 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeVaclav Zidek to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Zidek above · Vladimir Adamczyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Vaclav Zidek at 55.2%
92 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Zidek 3–3 Vladimir Adamczyk Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:37What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zidek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zidek 1641 vs Adamczyk 1579
Zidek
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zidek 80% vs Adamczyk 40%
Zidek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zidek 40% vs Adamczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zidek +4 · Adamczyk +2
Zidek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zidek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZidek 1.80 / Adamczyk 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zidek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140060
Zidek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 57 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Adamczyk1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 20 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back32% 11 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeZidek3wins
AwayAdamczyk3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZidek100%3 of 3
AwayAdamczyk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zidek3Adamczyk3n = 6split evenly
S2Zidek6Adamczyk0n = 6Zidek took 6 of 6
S3Zidek0Adamczyk6n = 6Adamczyk took 6 of 6
S4Zidek2Adamczyk4n = 6Adamczyk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricZidekAdamczykZ − ABasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match40.238.0+2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZidekAdamczykBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 421 vs 105 / 19256.1%54.7%236 / 421 vs 105 / 192Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZidekZidek 1.80/Adamczyk 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zidek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 13 · 18:00V. Zidek48111187113V. Adamczyk4398111142
WAug 5 · 20:00V. Zidek4311138113V. Adamczyk387111191
LJul 13 · 08:58V. Zidek34911951V. Adamczyk4211911113
WJul 13 · 08:30V. Zidek43111110113V. Adamczyk26381231
LJun 18 · 20:00V. Zidek368111071V. Adamczyk3911512113
LJun 9 · 20:00V. Zidek37811991V. Adamczyk4011711113
V. Zidek10
WSep 13 · 21:29V. Zidek2.381111113M. Heczko1.535790WSep 13 · 20:30V. Zidek3.001111113M. Heczko1.364660WSep 13 · 19:00V. Zidek2.6312511113R. Vavrecka1.441011671WSep 13 · 18:00V. Adamczyk1.8398111142V. Zidek1.83111187113LSep 11 · 09:09P. Slavik2.75101111113V. Zidek1.40125981LSep 11 · 08:30V. Zidek1.83111111882P. Slavik1.83138611113LSep 11 · 07:00V. Zidek2.75611361M. Heczko1.4011911113LSep 11 · 06:00J. Levicky2.7511411133V. Zidek1.408115111LAug 30 · 20:59A. Walek1.631111143V. Zidek2.1385120LAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871
V. Adamczyk10
WSep 17 · 19:00V. Adamczyk1.9111136133D. Oborny1.8081111111WSep 13 · 21:00V. Adamczyk1.671111117113R. Vavrecka2.1013981162WSep 13 · 20:00V. Adamczyk1.731211113R. Vavrecka2.0010790LSep 13 · 19:30M. Heczko2.0011115113V. Adamczyk1.73981151LSep 13 · 18:00V. Adamczyk1.8398111142V. Zidek1.83111187113LSep 11 · 12:59P. Slavik1.80118117123V. Adamczyk1.91711611102LSep 11 · 12:00V. Adamczyk1.6171111862J. Levicky2.20113511113LSep 11 · 11:30P. Slavik2.031111113V. Adamczyk1.624870WSep 11 · 10:00V. Adamczyk1.5311111211113M. Heczko2.3891314582WAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271
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