TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13148839
Played Sep 17Finished
Vojtech Cerny
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119611611116911
Vladimir Adamczyk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:00 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeVojtech Cerny to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVojtech Cerny above · Vladimir Adamczyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Vojtech Cerny at 56.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Cerny 1–0 Vladimir Adamczyk Vladimir Adamczyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Cerny beat Adamczyk 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:00What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Cerny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cerny 1646 vs Adamczyk 1593
Cerny
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cerny 100% vs Adamczyk 80%
Cerny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cerny 90% vs Adamczyk 40%
Cerny
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cerny +5 · Adamczyk -1
Cerny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Cerny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCerny 1.73 / Adamczyk 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Cerny)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13148839
Cerny1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 24 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Adamczyk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 20 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back32% 11 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCerny1wins
AwayAdamczyk0wins
Cerny leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricCernyAdamczykC − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match38.034.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernyAdamczykBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 101 vs 107 / 19550.5%54.9%51 / 101 vs 107 / 195Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernyCerny 1.73/Adamczyk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Cerny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 17 · 20:30V. Cerny3811511113V. Adamczyk34611891
V. Cerny10
WSep 17 · 20:30V. Adamczyk1.73611891V. Cerny2.0011511113WSep 17 · 19:30V. Cerny2.63116128113V. Zidek1.44611101142WSep 17 · 18:30D. Oborny1.834850V. Cerny1.831111113WSep 7 · 17:29V. Cerny1.441111133M. Blejchar2.6364110WSep 7 · 16:00V. Cerny1.67911911113R. Guliak2.1011911992WSep 7 · 15:30M. Blejchar2.257240V. Cerny1.571111113WSep 7 · 14:00V. Cerny1.831611113P. Hanel1.8314660LSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:00V. Cerny1.6713711143M. Blejchar2.1011117121WSep 5 · 19:30F. Zurek2.751111941V. Cerny1.4013711113
V. Adamczyk10
LSep 17 · 20:30V. Adamczyk1.73611891V. Cerny2.0011511113WSep 17 · 19:00V. Adamczyk1.9111136133D. Oborny1.8081111111WSep 17 · 18:00V. Zidek1.8097111192V. Adamczyk1.91111157113WSep 13 · 21:00V. Adamczyk1.671111117113R. Vavrecka2.1013981162WSep 13 · 20:00V. Adamczyk1.731211113R. Vavrecka2.0010790LSep 13 · 19:30M. Heczko2.0011115113V. Adamczyk1.73981151LSep 13 · 18:00V. Adamczyk1.8398111142V. Zidek1.83111187113LSep 11 · 12:59P. Slavik1.80118117123V. Adamczyk1.91711611102LSep 11 · 12:00V. Adamczyk1.6171111862J. Levicky2.20113511113LSep 11 · 11:30P. Slavik2.031111113V. Adamczyk1.624870
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