TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13117075
Played Sep 11Finished
Lukas Velicka
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1184117111614911
Marek Blejchar
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingLukas Velicka above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 16-14
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 102 set 5, 9-11
102 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Velicka 7–8 Marek Blejchar Lukas Velicka has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Velicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVelicka 1.67 / Blejchar 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Velicka)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13117075
Velicka1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 43 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it70% 26 of 37
Blejchar2.10
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog40% won 67 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back15% 14 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVelicka6wins
AwayBlejchar4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVelicka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVelicka57.1%4 of 7
AwayBlejchar33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Velicka7Blejchar3n = 10Velicka took 7 of 10
S2Velicka6Blejchar4n = 10Velicka took 6 of 10
S3Velicka4Blejchar6n = 10Blejchar took 6 of 10
S4Velicka5Blejchar4n = 9Velicka took 5 of 9
S5Velicka2Blejchar2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVelickaBlejcharV − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.639.4+0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVelickaBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 205 vs 314 / 65053.2%48.3%109 / 205 vs 314 / 650Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VelickaVelicka 1.67/Blejchar 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Velicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 18:00L. Velicka—11811113M. Blejchar—711741
WAug 30 · 20:00L. Velicka—111167123M. Blejchar—591111102
LJul 7 · 21:00L. Velicka—11715111M. Blejchar—81117133
WJul 7 · 18:30L. Velicka—137911113M. Blejchar—111111882
LJun 28 · 21:30L. Velicka—11113442M. Blejchar—951111113
LJun 28 · 20:00L. Velicka—11461262M. Blejchar—6111110113
LJun 7 · 20:00L. Velicka—311461M. Blejchar—11811113
WMay 28 · 21:01L. Velicka—91111113M. Blejchar—116761
WMay 28 · 19:00L. Velicka—91111113M. Blejchar—119981
WApr 24 · 10:00L. Velicka—1111113M. Blejchar—9260
L. Velicka10
WSep 11 · 20:00L. Velicka1.801111314113R. Adam1.91913111252WSep 11 · 19:30P. Osvald2.10118681L. Velicka1.6781111113WSep 11 · 18:00L. Velicka1.7311811113M. Blejchar2.00711741LSep 8 · 21:29R. Vavrecka1.9191111113L. Velicka1.80116461WSep 8 · 20:00R. Vavrecka1.8312871172L. Velicka1.831011115113WSep 8 · 19:00T. Milota2.38651161L. Velicka1.5311116113LSep 8 · 18:30L. Velicka1.7341111892R. Adam2.00116711113WSep 7 · 16:59O. Hradil1.61111181192L. Velicka2.20138113113LSep 7 · 16:30L. Velicka1.618970O. Hradil2.201111113LSep 7 · 15:00L. Velicka2.00771181J. Levicky1.7311119113
M. Blejchar10
WSep 11 · 20:30M. Blejchar1.831111113P. Osvald1.836480WSep 11 · 19:00M. Blejchar1.831213153R. Adam1.831011130LSep 11 · 18:00L. Velicka1.7311811113M. Blejchar2.00711741WSep 9 · 21:30M. Koral1.954690M. Blejchar1.751111113LSep 9 · 20:00R. Adam1.8351111113M. Blejchar1.83117861WSep 9 · 19:00M. Koral2.00711791M. Blejchar1.7311611113WSep 9 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111109113R. Guliak2.6339121182WSep 8 · 21:28M. Blejchar1.331311113P. Varecha3.2511350WSep 8 · 20:00V. Bosak2.754360M. Blejchar1.401111113WSep 8 · 19:00P. Varecha2.634460M. Blejchar1.441111113
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