TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13106346
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Koral
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411611911––––
Marek Blejchar
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:04 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Koral above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 52 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Marek Blejchar at 61.7%
52 points played in total.
H2H Michal Koral 6–9 Marek Blejchar Michal Koral has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Blejchar beat Koral 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Blejchar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Blejchar
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koral 1471 vs Blejchar 1586
Blejchar
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koral 40% vs Blejchar 80%
Blejchar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koral 30% vs Blejchar 80%
Blejchar
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koral +1 · Blejchar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Blejchar) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoral 1.95 / Blejchar 1.75
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Blejchar)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13106346
Koral1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 27 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back22% 7 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Blejchar1.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite65% won 99 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it83% 63 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoral3wins
AwayBlejchar7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBlejchar leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoral50%2 of 4
AwayBlejchar83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koral4Blejchar6n = 10Blejchar took 6 of 10
S2Koral5Blejchar5n = 10split evenly
S3Koral5Blejchar5n = 10split evenly
S4Koral2Blejchar5n = 7Blejchar took 5 of 7
S5Koral1Blejchar2n = 3Blejchar took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoralBlejcharK − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.339.3−4.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoralBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 208 vs 320 / 66351%48.3%106 / 208 vs 320 / 663Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharKoral 1.95/Blejchar 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.9%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 19:00M. Koral—711791M. Blejchar—11611113
LSep 8 · 15:00M. Koral—561181M. Blejchar—11119113
WAug 30 · 18:00M. Koral—1114113M. Blejchar—81260
WJul 22 · 15:00M. Koral—761111113M. Blejchar—11114582
LJul 19 · 08:30M. Koral—61161152M. Blejchar—119117113
LJun 9 · 08:00M. Koral—11117272M. Blejchar—991111113
WMay 29 · 13:28M. Koral—1112133M. Blejchar—410110
LMay 29 · 10:00M. Koral—11121091M. Blejchar—91412113
LMay 16 · 17:30M. Koral—6980M. Blejchar—1111113
LMay 16 · 15:00M. Koral—951231M. Blejchar—111110113
M. Koral10
WSep 9 · 20:30M. Koral1.4411811113R. Guliak2.63811591LSep 9 · 19:00M. Koral2.00711791M. Blejchar1.7311611113WSep 9 · 18:00R. Adam1.837840M. Koral1.831111113LSep 8 · 17:00I. Taichman1.421113811113M. Koral2.6051511982LSep 8 · 16:00P. Hanel1.83821211133M. Koral1.831111109112LSep 8 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.0011119113M. Koral1.73561181LSep 8 · 14:30M. Koral1.731168121I. Taichman2.0091111143WSep 2 · 13:24V. Bosak3.4091191192M. Koral1.30116119113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Bosak1.80811913113M. Koral1.91112111162LSep 2 · 11:30M. Koral1.5081080R. Adam2.501112113
M. Blejchar10
LSep 9 · 20:00R. Adam1.8351111113M. Blejchar1.83117861WSep 9 · 19:00M. Koral2.00711791M. Blejchar1.7311611113WSep 9 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111109113R. Guliak2.6339121182WSep 8 · 21:28M. Blejchar1.331311113P. Varecha3.2511350WSep 8 · 20:00V. Bosak2.754360M. Blejchar1.401111113WSep 8 · 19:00P. Varecha2.634460M. Blejchar1.441111113WSep 8 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111113M. Jasek2.635850LSep 8 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.613930P. Hanel2.201111113WSep 8 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.671311113I. Taichman2.1011770WSep 8 · 15:00M. Blejchar2.0011119113M. Koral1.73561181
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