TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108672
Played Sep 11Finished
Lukas Velicka
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117811117114––
Marek Blejchar
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:04 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Velicka above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-4
Point 68 set 4, 9-4 — our read held Marek Blejchar at 57.6%
68 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Lukas Velicka 6–8 Marek Blejchar Lukas Velicka has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:04What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Velicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Blejchar
Wrong
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Velicka 1550 vs Blejchar 1603
Blejchar
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Velicka 60% vs Blejchar 80%
Blejchar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Velicka 30% vs Blejchar 80%
Blejchar
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Velicka -1 · Blejchar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Velicka) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVelicka 1.73 / Blejchar 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Blejchar)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108672
Velicka1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 43 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it70% 26 of 37
Blejchar2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog40% won 67 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back15% 14 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVelicka5wins
AwayBlejchar5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVelicka50%3 of 6
AwayBlejchar50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Velicka6Blejchar4n = 10Velicka took 6 of 10
S2Velicka7Blejchar3n = 10Velicka took 7 of 10
S3Velicka3Blejchar7n = 10Blejchar took 7 of 10
S4Velicka4Blejchar5n = 9Blejchar took 5 of 9
S5Velicka2Blejchar2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVelickaBlejcharV − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.640.3−1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVelickaBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 202 vs 321 / 66452.5%48.3%106 / 202 vs 321 / 664Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VelickaVelicka 1.73/Blejchar 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Velicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Velicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 20:00L. Velicka—111167123M. Blejchar—591111102
LJul 7 · 21:00L. Velicka—11715111M. Blejchar—81117133
WJul 7 · 18:30L. Velicka—137911113M. Blejchar—111111882
LJun 28 · 21:30L. Velicka—11113442M. Blejchar—951111113
LJun 28 · 20:00L. Velicka—11461262M. Blejchar—6111110113
LJun 7 · 20:00L. Velicka—311461M. Blejchar—11811113
WMay 28 · 21:01L. Velicka—91111113M. Blejchar—116761
WMay 28 · 19:00L. Velicka—91111113M. Blejchar—119981
WApr 24 · 10:00L. Velicka—1111113M. Blejchar—9260
LMar 9 · 20:00L. Velicka—311981M. Blejchar—11511113
L. Velicka10
LSep 8 · 21:29R. Vavrecka1.9191111113L. Velicka1.80116461WSep 8 · 20:00R. Vavrecka1.8312871172L. Velicka1.831011115113WSep 8 · 19:00T. Milota2.38651161L. Velicka1.5311116113LSep 8 · 18:30L. Velicka1.7341111892R. Adam2.00116711113WSep 7 · 16:59O. Hradil1.61111181192L. Velicka2.20138113113LSep 7 · 16:30L. Velicka1.618970O. Hradil2.201111113LSep 7 · 15:00L. Velicka2.00771181J. Levicky1.7311119113LSep 7 · 14:00R. Vavrecka1.911011411113L. Velicka1.8012311862LSep 4 · 21:28J. Levicky1.801111113L. Velicka1.915790LSep 4 · 20:00J. Levicky1.73111238113L. Velicka2.00310111192
M. Blejchar10
WSep 9 · 21:30M. Koral1.954690M. Blejchar1.751111113LSep 9 · 20:00R. Adam1.8351111113M. Blejchar1.83117861WSep 9 · 19:00M. Koral2.00711791M. Blejchar1.7311611113WSep 9 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111109113R. Guliak2.6339121182WSep 8 · 21:28M. Blejchar1.331311113P. Varecha3.2511350WSep 8 · 20:00V. Bosak2.754360M. Blejchar1.401111113WSep 8 · 19:00P. Varecha2.634460M. Blejchar1.441111113WSep 8 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111113M. Jasek2.635850LSep 8 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.613930P. Hanel2.201111113WSep 8 · 16:30M. Blejchar1.671311113I. Taichman2.1011770
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