TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Marek Volny
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611811––––
Dominik Oborny
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:16 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeMarek Volny to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Volny above · Dominik Oborny below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Marek Volny at 54.2%
56 points played in total.
H2H Marek Volny 8–5 Dominik Oborny Dominik Oborny has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:16What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Volny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Volny
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volny 1499 vs Oborny 1591
Oborny
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volny 0% vs Oborny 60%
Oborny
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volny 10% vs Oborny 50%
Oborny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volny -8 · Oborny +2
Volny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Volny) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oborny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolny 1.67 / Oborny 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Volny)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160497
Volny1.67
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 57 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it86% 43 of 50
Oborny2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 48 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolny5wins
AwayOborny5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolny100%4 of 4
AwayOborny83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volny4Oborny6n = 10Oborny took 6 of 10
S2Volny3Oborny7n = 10Oborny took 7 of 10
S3Volny6Oborny4n = 10Volny took 6 of 10
S4Volny4Oborny1n = 5Volny took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolnyObornyV − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.333.7+1.6per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolnyObornyBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 182 vs 323 / 62151.1%52%93 / 182 vs 323 / 621Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolnyVolny 1.67/Oborny 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Volny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Oborny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 19:30M. Volny239680D. Oborny331111113
LAug 18 · 20:00M. Volny2778120D. Oborny361111143
WAug 6 · 20:00M. Volny331111113D. Oborny106220
LAug 2 · 20:00M. Volny4349111182D. Oborny48111178113
WJul 26 · 15:00M. Volny4011117113D. Oborny31661181
WJul 19 · 20:30M. Volny53951511133D. Oborny541111138112
LJul 7 · 21:30M. Volny35951291D. Oborny43111110113
LJul 7 · 18:00M. Volny2594120D. Oborny361111143
WJul 5 · 20:00M. Volny331111113D. Oborny194870
WApr 5 · 20:58M. Volny4111811113D. Oborny27411931
M. Volny10
LSep 20 · 18:30V. Cerny2.63121296113M. Volny1.441010111192LSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551LSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:00A. Rinka1.67941111113M. Volny2.1011116582LSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny1.8071090R. Vavrecka1.911112113LSep 3 · 13:02A. Rinka1.721111113M. Volny2.007660LSep 3 · 12:30M. Volny1.831269101A. Rinka1.83101111123LSep 3 · 11:00M. Volny2.00111011582M. Heczko1.73612811113WSep 3 · 10:00P. Danko1.91128911112M. Volny1.801011112133LAug 18 · 21:30J. Levicky2.631011132113M. Volny1.44128111192
D. Oborny10
WSep 20 · 20:00D. Oborny2.381111153V. Cerny1.5386130WSep 20 · 18:00D. Oborny1.611111133L. Velicka2.2088110WSep 20 · 09:17D. Oborny1.4011117113D. Machander2.75871171LSep 20 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61913119113D. Oborny2.20111161132WSep 20 · 07:00M. Heczko2.0061161182D. Oborny1.73117119113LSep 20 · 06:30D. Oborny1.5311117642D. Machander2.38641111113LSep 18 · 21:30R. Vavrecka1.671111113D. Oborny2.089620LSep 18 · 20:30D. Oborny2.1010890R. Vavrecka1.671211113WSep 18 · 19:00D. Oborny2.001112113J. Levicky1.7331070WSep 18 · 18:00D. Machander1.918980D. Oborny1.801111113
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