TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13146801
Played Sep 18Finished
Dominik Oborny
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811911––––
Radomir Vavrecka
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadomir Vavrecka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Oborny above · Radomir Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 61 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Radomir Vavrecka at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Oborny 5–10 Radomir Vavrecka Dominik Oborny has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vavrecka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-10 in 15
Vavrecka
Correct
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oborny 1601 vs Vavrecka 1529
Oborny
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oborny 60% vs Vavrecka 80%
Vavrecka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oborny 50% vs Vavrecka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oborny +2 · Vavrecka +4
Vavrecka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vavrecka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOborny 2.10 / Vavrecka 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Oborny)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13146801
Oborny2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 46 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Vavrecka1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 36 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it61% 22 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOborny4wins
AwayVavrecka6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVavrecka leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOborny75%3 of 4
AwayVavrecka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oborny4Vavrecka6n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S2Oborny4Vavrecka6n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S3Oborny3Vavrecka7n = 10Vavrecka took 7 of 10
S4Oborny2Vavrecka3n = 5Vavrecka took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricObornyVavreckaO − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match29.635.6−6.0per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObornyVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 619 vs 149 / 29152%51.2%322 / 619 vs 149 / 291Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaOborny 2.10/Vavrecka 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 26 · 16:58D. Oborny4181111113R. Vavrecka37119981
WJul 26 · 16:00D. Oborny4111118113R. Vavrecka32681171
LJul 21 · 20:00D. Oborny2013160R. Vavrecka371511113
WJul 19 · 19:30D. Oborny331111113R. Vavrecka248880
LMar 15 · 15:00D. Oborny175570R. Vavrecka331111113
LFeb 22 · 08:00D. Oborny176920R. Vavrecka331111113
LFeb 21 · 08:30D. Oborny34127871R. Vavrecka43101111113
LFeb 1 · 22:30D. Oborny209650R. Vavrecka331111113
WFeb 1 · 21:00D. Oborny45115117113R. Vavrecka4281131192
LJan 25 · 15:00D. Oborny28511481R. Vavrecka4211911113
D. Oborny10
LSep 18 · 21:30R. Vavrecka1.671111113D. Oborny2.089620WSep 18 · 19:00D. Oborny2.001112113J. Levicky1.7331070WSep 18 · 18:00D. Machander1.918980D. Oborny1.801111113LSep 17 · 20:59D. Oborny2.20512991V. Zidek1.61111011113WSep 17 · 20:00V. Zidek1.4451151182D. Oborny2.63118119113LSep 17 · 19:00V. Adamczyk1.9111136133D. Oborny1.8081111111LSep 17 · 18:30D. Oborny1.834850V. Cerny1.831111113WSep 14 · 17:03D. Oborny1.8311611113D. Machander1.83711981LSep 14 · 16:30S. Byrtus2.251215134113D. Oborny1.571017111172WSep 14 · 15:30D. Oborny2.501112113D. Machander1.5091070
R. Vavrecka10
WSep 18 · 21:30R. Vavrecka1.671111113D. Oborny2.089620WSep 18 · 19:30R. Vavrecka2.101111113D. Machander1.675950WSep 18 · 18:30J. Levicky1.8391111552R. Vavrecka1.83116811113WSep 16 · 13:04R. Vavrecka1.8041511113M. Heczko1.911113661WSep 16 · 12:30R. Vavrecka1.91711611133J. Schwan1.80115119112LSep 16 · 11:00R. Vavrecka2.20881171S. Kysely1.6111118113LSep 16 · 10:00M. Heczko2.2081116113R. Vavrecka1.611141461LSep 15 · 09:03M. Heczko2.00511711113R. Vavrecka1.7311711452WSep 15 · 08:30M. Heczko2.1011135552R. Vavrecka1.676111111113LSep 15 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.67115691J. Schwan2.1071111113
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