TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147113
Played Sep 18Finished
Radomir Vavrecka
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119115––––
Dalimil Machander
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:51 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeDalimil Machander to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadomir Vavrecka above · Dalimil Machander below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 52 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Dalimil Machander at 57.8%
52 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Vavrecka 1–4 Dalimil Machander Radomir Vavrecka has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Machander
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Machander
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1514 vs Machander 1551
Machander
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 60% vs Machander 20%
Vavrecka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 40% vs Machander 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka +3 · Machander -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Machander)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Machander form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 2.10 / Machander 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Machander)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147113
Vavrecka2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 39 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 35
Machander1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 42 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it73% 32 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVavrecka1wins
AwayMachander4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderMachander leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka33.3%1 of 3
AwayMachandern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka3Machander2n = 5Vavrecka took 3 of 5
S2Vavrecka4Machander1n = 5Vavrecka took 4 of 5
S3Vavrecka1Machander4n = 5Machander took 4 of 5
S4Vavrecka0Machander3n = 3Machander took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricVavreckaMachanderV − MBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match35.639.8−4.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaMachanderBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 290 vs 168 / 36351%46.3%148 / 290 vs 168 / 363Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.040.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MachanderVavrecka 2.10/Machander 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.8%
Machander · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 12 · 14:00R. Vavrecka314111061D. Machander4211812113
WAug 4 · 18:30R. Vavrecka351113113D. Machander2561180
LMay 29 · 09:07R. Vavrecka44111310192D. Machander538111211113
LMay 29 · 06:30R. Vavrecka229940D. Machander331111113
LMay 24 · 15:00R. Vavrecka46111161082D. Machander46751112113
R. Vavrecka10
WSep 18 · 20:30D. Oborny2.1010890R. Vavrecka1.671211113WSep 18 · 18:30J. Levicky1.8391111552R. Vavrecka1.83116811113WSep 16 · 13:04R. Vavrecka1.8041511113M. Heczko1.911113661WSep 16 · 12:30R. Vavrecka1.91711611133J. Schwan1.80115119112LSep 16 · 11:00R. Vavrecka2.20881171S. Kysely1.6111118113LSep 16 · 10:00M. Heczko2.2081116113R. Vavrecka1.611141461LSep 15 · 09:03M. Heczko2.00511711113R. Vavrecka1.7311711452WSep 15 · 08:30M. Heczko2.1011135552R. Vavrecka1.676111111113LSep 15 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.67115691J. Schwan2.1071111113LSep 15 · 06:30S. Byrtus1.501111113R. Vavrecka2.504980
D. Machander10
LSep 18 · 20:59J. Levicky2.001111113D. Machander1.739640LSep 18 · 20:00D. Machander1.57791281J. Levicky2.25111110113LSep 18 · 18:00D. Machander1.918980D. Oborny1.801111113LSep 15 · 17:00D. Machander1.859101191A. Walek1.8511124113LSep 15 · 16:00F. Laburda1.61811114113D. Machander2.2011961192LSep 15 · 15:00L. Martinak1.73111110113D. Machander2.00851261WSep 15 · 14:30D. Machander1.83151267113A. Walek1.831310111162LSep 14 · 17:03D. Oborny1.8311611113D. Machander1.83711981WSep 14 · 16:00D. Machander1.8011101110113R. Skacelik1.9191291272LSep 14 · 15:30D. Oborny2.501112113D. Machander1.5091070
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