TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135682
Played Sep 16Finished
Radomir Vavrecka
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111156111191311
Jaroslav Schwan
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Schwan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadomir Vavrecka above · Jaroslav Schwan below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 95 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Jaroslav Schwan at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Vavrecka 11–5 Jaroslav Schwan Jaroslav Schwan has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 15:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Schwan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-5 in 16
Vavrecka
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1449 vs Schwan 1681
Schwan
Wrong
both rated, 232 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 20% vs Schwan 100%
Schwan
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 10% vs Schwan 90%
Schwan
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka -3 · Schwan +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Schwan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schwan form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.91 / Schwan 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Schwan)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135682
Vavrecka1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 38 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back21% 12 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34
Schwan1.80
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 40 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it74% 26 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVavrecka6wins
AwaySchwan4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVavrecka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka66.7%4 of 6
AwaySchwan50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka6Schwan4n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S2Vavrecka7Schwan3n = 10Vavrecka took 7 of 10
S3Vavrecka3Schwan7n = 10Schwan took 7 of 10
S4Vavrecka4Schwan4n = 8split evenly
S5Vavrecka3Schwan1n = 4Vavrecka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVavreckaSchwanV − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.938.2−0.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaSchwanBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 287 vs 135 / 28050.5%48.2%145 / 287 vs 135 / 280Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchwanVavrecka 1.91/Schwan 1.80
Miss
What we said
54%
Schwan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 07:30R. Vavrecka31115691J. Schwan4071111113
LAug 25 · 20:30R. Vavrecka43115101162J. Schwan44411126113
LAug 21 · 07:00R. Vavrecka30414481J. Schwan45111211113
WAug 17 · 20:58R. Vavrecka341112113J. Schwan2781090
WAug 17 · 19:00R. Vavrecka3711114113J. Schwan35891171
WJul 29 · 06:30R. Vavrecka331111113J. Schwan269890
WMay 29 · 08:30R. Vavrecka491141211113J. Schwan4481114562
LMay 14 · 20:30R. Vavrecka32911751J. Schwan3911611113
WMar 20 · 10:00R. Vavrecka474111011113J. Schwan4411812942
WMar 20 · 07:00R. Vavrecka43311117113J. Schwan3811541172
R. Vavrecka10
WSep 16 · 13:04R. Vavrecka1.8041511113M. Heczko1.911113661LSep 16 · 11:00R. Vavrecka2.20881171S. Kysely1.6111118113LSep 16 · 10:00M. Heczko2.2081116113R. Vavrecka1.611141461LSep 15 · 09:03M. Heczko2.00511711113R. Vavrecka1.7311711452WSep 15 · 08:30M. Heczko2.1011135552R. Vavrecka1.676111111113LSep 15 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.67115691J. Schwan2.1071111113LSep 15 · 06:30S. Byrtus1.501111113R. Vavrecka2.504980LSep 13 · 21:00V. Adamczyk1.671111117113R. Vavrecka2.1013981162LSep 13 · 20:00V. Adamczyk1.731211113R. Vavrecka2.0010790LSep 13 · 19:00V. Zidek2.6312511113R. Vavrecka1.441011671
J. Schwan10
WSep 16 · 13:30J. Schwan1.65111111113S. Kysely2.10961341WSep 16 · 11:30J. Schwan1.281211113M. Heczko3.5010760WSep 16 · 10:30S. Kysely2.201199101J. Schwan1.6161111123WSep 15 · 13:30J. Schwan1.2591111113M. Heczko3.75112751WSep 15 · 12:30J. Schwan1.301311113M. Heczko3.4011650WSep 15 · 11:00J. Schwan1.73101111113J. Levicky2.00127631WSep 15 · 10:00A. Rinka1.73145771J. Schwan2.00121111113WSep 15 · 09:30J. Schwan1.731111113S. Byrtus2.006830LSep 15 · 08:00J. Schwan1.57111391192S. Byrtus2.25615113113WSep 15 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.67115691J. Schwan2.1071111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Vavrecka
Nothing scheduled
J. Schwan
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