TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13134394
Played Sep 16Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111141614116––
Radomir Vavrecka
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:47 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMarcel Heczko to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Radomir Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 81 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Marcel Heczko at 54.9%
81 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 10–11 Radomir Vavrecka Marcel Heczko has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vavrecka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1571 vs Vavrecka 1465
Heczko
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 60% vs Vavrecka 20%
Heczko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 40% vs Vavrecka 20%
Heczko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko -2 · Vavrecka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vavrecka) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 2.20 / Vavrecka 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Heczko)+3.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13134394
Heczko2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 64 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 47
Vavrecka1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 37 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it63% 22 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko3wins
AwayVavrecka7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVavrecka leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko25%1 of 4
AwayVavrecka66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko4Vavrecka6n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S2Heczko5Vavrecka5n = 10split evenly
S3Heczko1Vavrecka9n = 10Vavrecka took 9 of 10
S4Heczko3Vavrecka5n = 8Vavrecka took 5 of 8
S5Heczko3Vavrecka2n = 5Heczko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoVavreckaH − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.043.4−6.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime290 / 604 vs 145 / 28548%50.9%290 / 604 vs 145 / 285Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaHeczko 2.20/Vavrecka 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 09:03M. Heczko45511711113R. Vavrecka3811711452
LSep 15 · 08:30M. Heczko3911135552R. Vavrecka506111111113
WSep 13 · 18:30M. Heczko511111108113R. Vavrecka4668121192
LSep 4 · 07:30M. Heczko35117891R. Vavrecka3961111113
LJul 26 · 15:30M. Heczko32118671R. Vavrecka4291111113
LJul 21 · 18:00M. Heczko143830R. Vavrecka331111113
LJul 19 · 20:00M. Heczko4511147131R. Vavrecka51131211153
WJul 17 · 21:30M. Heczko47681111113R. Vavrecka4811119982
LJul 17 · 18:30M. Heczko40311412102R. Vavrecka531191110123
LJul 2 · 18:00M. Heczko2231090R. Vavrecka341112113
M. Heczko10
LSep 16 · 11:30J. Schwan1.281211113M. Heczko3.5010760LSep 15 · 13:30J. Schwan1.2591111113M. Heczko3.75112751LSep 15 · 12:30J. Schwan1.301311113M. Heczko3.4011650WSep 15 · 11:30M. Heczko1.6711811113A. Rinka2.10611571WSep 15 · 10:30J. Levicky1.8061211562M. Heczko1.911110611113WSep 15 · 09:03M. Heczko2.00511711113R. Vavrecka1.7311711452LSep 15 · 08:30M. Heczko2.1011135552R. Vavrecka1.676111111113WSep 15 · 07:00M. Heczko2.0011128113S. Byrtus1.738101191LSep 15 · 06:00J. Schwan1.401111113M. Heczko2.759550LSep 13 · 21:29V. Zidek2.381111113M. Heczko1.535790
R. Vavrecka10
LSep 16 · 11:00R. Vavrecka2.20881171S. Kysely1.6111118113LSep 15 · 09:03M. Heczko2.00511711113R. Vavrecka1.7311711452WSep 15 · 08:30M. Heczko2.1011135552R. Vavrecka1.676111111113LSep 15 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.67115691J. Schwan2.1071111113LSep 15 · 06:30S. Byrtus1.501111113R. Vavrecka2.504980LSep 13 · 21:00V. Adamczyk1.671111117113R. Vavrecka2.1013981162LSep 13 · 20:00V. Adamczyk1.731211113R. Vavrecka2.0010790LSep 13 · 19:00V. Zidek2.6312511113R. Vavrecka1.441011671LSep 13 · 18:30R. Vavrecka1.6168121192M. Heczko2.201111108113WSep 8 · 21:29R. Vavrecka1.9191111113L. Velicka1.80116461
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