TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129381
Played Sep 15Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181210811119––
Samuel Byrtus
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcel Heczko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Marcel Heczko at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 21–13 Samuel Byrtus Samuel Byrtus has won 13 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:51What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Byrtus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-13 in 34
Heczko
Correct
gap of 8 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1608 vs Byrtus 1572
Heczko
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 40% vs Byrtus 80%
Byrtus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 50% vs Byrtus 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko -3 · Byrtus +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Byrtus) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 2.00 / Byrtus 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Byrtus)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129381
Heczko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 61 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Byrtus1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 85 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it77% 58 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko7wins
AwayByrtus3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHeczko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko71.4%5 of 7
AwayByrtus33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko7Byrtus3n = 10Heczko took 7 of 10
S2Heczko5Byrtus5n = 10split evenly
S3Heczko5Byrtus5n = 10split evenly
S4Heczko6Byrtus4n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10
S5Heczko2Byrtus1n = 3Heczko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoByrtusH − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.440.9+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime287 / 598 vs 303 / 59048%51.4%287 / 598 vs 303 / 590Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusHeczko 2.00/Byrtus 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 07:00M. Heczko4211128113S. Byrtus388101191
WAug 14 · 09:14M. Heczko3831111133S. Byrtus361168111
LAug 14 · 06:00M. Heczko391198111S. Byrtus4381111133
WJun 5 · 18:00M. Heczko4715912113S. Byrtus4213111081
WMay 23 · 19:30M. Heczko5311101110113S. Byrtus4271281232
LApr 25 · 12:00M. Heczko30511951S. Byrtus4211911113
WApr 24 · 09:30M. Heczko51139711113S. Byrtus50111111892
WApr 24 · 07:00M. Heczko3711114113S. Byrtus32691161
LApr 20 · 13:29M. Heczko4511612972S. Byrtus496111011113
WApr 20 · 11:00M. Heczko4271113113S. Byrtus351151181
M. Heczko10
LSep 15 · 06:00J. Schwan1.401111113M. Heczko2.759550LSep 13 · 21:29V. Zidek2.381111113M. Heczko1.535790LSep 13 · 20:30V. Zidek3.001111113M. Heczko1.364660WSep 13 · 19:30M. Heczko2.0011115113V. Adamczyk1.73981151WSep 13 · 18:30R. Vavrecka1.6168121192M. Heczko2.201111108113LSep 11 · 13:30M. Heczko1.90581151J. Levicky1.8011118113WSep 11 · 12:30M. Heczko1.411111113P. Slavik2.509770WSep 11 · 11:00M. Heczko1.8311411113J. Levicky1.83711441LSep 11 · 10:00V. Adamczyk1.5311111211113M. Heczko2.3891314582WSep 11 · 09:29J. Levicky1.8357111162M. Heczko1.83111197113
S. Byrtus10
WSep 15 · 06:30S. Byrtus1.501111113R. Vavrecka2.504980WSep 14 · 17:30R. Skacelik1.4987111172S. Byrtus2.40111185113WSep 14 · 16:30S. Byrtus2.251215134113D. Oborny1.571017111172LSep 14 · 15:00S. Byrtus2.63891141R. Skacelik1.4411116113WSep 14 · 14:00D. Machander2.1061111742S. Byrtus1.67116911113LSep 12 · 17:30D. Heczko1.80611113113S. Byrtus1.9111881192LSep 12 · 16:00S. Byrtus1.738117101D. Machander2.0011611123WSep 12 · 15:30A. Walek1.9156120S. Byrtus1.801111143WSep 12 · 14:00S. Byrtus2.001112811113D. Heczko1.7371411872LSep 11 · 21:00S. Byrtus2.107680D. Heczko1.671111113
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