TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13121221
Played Sep 12Finished
David Heczko
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611118118311119
Samuel Byrtus
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDavid Heczko above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 10-9
Point 88 set 5, 10-9
88 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H David Heczko 27–23 Samuel Byrtus Samuel Byrtus has won 23 of their 50 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Byrtus beat Heczko 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Byrtus)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 1.80 / Byrtus 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Byrtus)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13121221
Heczko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 105 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it94% 50 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it74% 78 of 106
Byrtus1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 77 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back31% 29 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko6wins
AwayByrtus4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHeczko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko100%5 of 5
AwayByrtus80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko5Byrtus5n = 10split evenly
S2Heczko5Byrtus5n = 10split evenly
S3Heczko8Byrtus2n = 10Heczko took 8 of 10
S4Heczko4Byrtus3n = 7Heczko took 4 of 7
S5Heczko2Byrtus2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoByrtusH − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.638.7+2.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime263 / 479 vs 299 / 58354.9%51.3%263 / 479 vs 299 / 583Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusHeczko 1.80/Byrtus 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 14:00D. Heczko4771411872S. Byrtus531112811113
WSep 11 · 21:00D. Heczko331111113S. Byrtus217680
WSep 11 · 19:00D. Heczko45121111113S. Byrtus401013981
WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko48118711113S. Byrtus4281111572
WSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko341211113S. Byrtus2310850
WAug 31 · 08:00D. Heczko401116133S. Byrtus33814110
LAug 27 · 09:30D. Heczko49861111132S. Byrtus47111164153
WAug 27 · 08:00D. Heczko49961112113S. Byrtus45111161072
LAug 25 · 09:30D. Heczko35811791S. Byrtus3811511113
LAug 25 · 07:30D. Heczko366111271S. Byrtus45111310113
D. Heczko10
WSep 12 · 16:30D. Heczko1.674111111113A. Walek2.1011134272WSep 12 · 15:00D. Heczko1.8311111113113D. Machander1.83131381132LSep 12 · 14:00S. Byrtus2.001112811113D. Heczko1.7371411872WSep 11 · 21:00S. Byrtus2.107680D. Heczko1.671111113LSep 11 · 20:30D. Heczko2.1071070J. Schwan1.671112113WSep 11 · 19:00D. Heczko1.83121111113S. Byrtus1.831013981LSep 11 · 18:00D. Langer1.501111159113D. Heczko2.5057171162LSep 8 · 17:08D. Langer1.401111113D. Heczko2.758350LSep 8 · 16:30D. Langer1.73711811113D. Heczko2.0011611682WSep 8 · 15:30D. Heczko2.251112110143F. Laburda1.576101112122
S. Byrtus10
LSep 12 · 16:00S. Byrtus1.738117101D. Machander2.0011611123WSep 12 · 15:30A. Walek1.9156120S. Byrtus1.801111143WSep 12 · 14:00S. Byrtus2.001112811113D. Heczko1.7371411872LSep 11 · 21:00S. Byrtus2.107680D. Heczko1.671111113WSep 11 · 20:00D. Langer2.00116101132S. Byrtus1.73711128113LSep 11 · 19:00D. Heczko1.83121111113S. Byrtus1.831013981LSep 11 · 18:30S. Byrtus1.9111114722J. Schwan1.80861111113WSep 9 · 13:30J. Schwan1.61119961S. Byrtus2.2041111113LSep 9 · 12:00R. Skacelik1.531111113S. Byrtus2.385490WSep 9 · 11:00S. Kysely1.6111541292S. Byrtus2.206111110113
Upcoming Matches
D. Heczko
S. Byrtus
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