TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13130312
Played Sep 14Finished
Richard Skacelik
Home
1.49
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811711118115711
Samuel Byrtus
Away
2.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:13 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeRichard Skacelik to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Richard Skacelik at 66.1%
90 points played in total.
H2H Richard Skacelik 7–3 Samuel Byrtus Samuel Byrtus has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Skacelik beat Byrtus 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.49 (62%)
Skacelik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Skacelik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skacelik 1641 vs Byrtus 1561
Skacelik
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skacelik 60% vs Byrtus 40%
Skacelik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skacelik 60% vs Byrtus 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skacelik -1 · Byrtus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Skacelik) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 1.49 / Byrtus 2.40
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Skacelik)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13130312
Skacelik1.49
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 57 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it67% 40 of 60
Byrtus2.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 67 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back30% 23 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkacelik7wins
AwayByrtus3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSkacelik leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkacelik71.4%5 of 7
AwayByrtus33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skacelik7Byrtus3n = 10Skacelik took 7 of 10
S2Skacelik7Byrtus3n = 10Skacelik took 7 of 10
S3Skacelik8Byrtus2n = 10Skacelik took 8 of 10
S4Skacelik4Byrtus3n = 7Skacelik took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkacelikByrtusS − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.332.2+6.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 448 vs 301 / 58747.8%51.3%214 / 448 vs 301 / 587Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkacelikSkacelik 1.49/Byrtus 2.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Skacelik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 15:00R. Skacelik3911116113S. Byrtus32891141
WSep 9 · 12:00R. Skacelik331111113S. Byrtus185490
LAug 19 · 13:28R. Skacelik3611411372S. Byrtus49811811113
WAug 19 · 12:00R. Skacelik331111113S. Byrtus183870
LJul 24 · 12:58R. Skacelik378711111S. Byrtus4311118133
WJul 24 · 12:00R. Skacelik331111113S. Byrtus229490
WJul 13 · 17:04R. Skacelik4181111113S. Byrtus25115361
WJul 13 · 14:30R. Skacelik4381111133S. Byrtus311172111
LJul 2 · 06:00R. Skacelik4811118992S. Byrtus49791111113
WMay 21 · 10:30R. Skacelik4011711113S. Byrtus35911691
R. Skacelik10
LSep 14 · 16:00D. Machander1.8011101110113R. Skacelik1.9191291272WSep 14 · 15:00S. Byrtus2.63891141R. Skacelik1.4411116113WSep 14 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.671191211113D. Oborny2.1081114272LSep 12 · 21:30D. Machander1.80125119153R. Skacelik1.911011511132WSep 12 · 20:30R. Skacelik1.671291111113D. Heczko2.10101131392LSep 12 · 19:00R. Skacelik2.008440D. Machander1.731111113WSep 12 · 18:00D. Langer1.839880R. Skacelik1.831111113LSep 10 · 09:30J. Cabak2.001111410123R. Skacelik1.73651112102WSep 10 · 08:00T. Petrek1.675940R. Skacelik2.101111113WSep 10 · 07:00J. Cabak2.1016351152R. Skacelik1.651411118113
S. Byrtus10
WSep 14 · 16:30S. Byrtus2.251215134113D. Oborny1.571017111172LSep 14 · 15:00S. Byrtus2.63891141R. Skacelik1.4411116113WSep 14 · 14:00D. Machander2.1061111742S. Byrtus1.67116911113LSep 12 · 17:30D. Heczko1.80611113113S. Byrtus1.9111881192LSep 12 · 16:00S. Byrtus1.738117101D. Machander2.0011611123WSep 12 · 15:30A. Walek1.9156120S. Byrtus1.801111143WSep 12 · 14:00S. Byrtus2.001112811113D. Heczko1.7371411872LSep 11 · 21:00S. Byrtus2.107680D. Heczko1.671111113WSep 11 · 20:00D. Langer2.00116101132S. Byrtus1.73711128113LSep 11 · 19:00D. Heczko1.83121111113S. Byrtus1.831013981
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