TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129025
Played Sep 15Finished
Jaroslav Schwan
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115115––––
Marcel Heczko
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcel Heczko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Schwan above · Marcel Heczko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 52 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Marcel Heczko at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Schwan 3–0 Marcel Heczko Marcel Heczko has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:34What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Schwan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Schwan
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schwan 1572 vs Heczko 1597
Heczko
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schwan 40% vs Heczko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schwan 40% vs Heczko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schwan -1 · Heczko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Schwan) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schwan form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchwan 1.40 / Heczko 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Schwan)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129025
Schwan1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 35 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it74% 23 of 31
Heczko2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 61 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSchwan3wins
AwayHeczko0wins
Schwan leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchwan100%3 of 3
AwayHeczkon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schwan3Heczko0n = 3Schwan took 3 of 3
S2Schwan1Heczko2n = 3Heczko took 2 of 3
S3Schwan3Heczko0n = 3Schwan took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSchwanHeczkoS − HBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match38.324.7+13.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchwanHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 271 vs 286 / 59746.9%47.9%127 / 271 vs 286 / 597Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchwanSchwan 1.40/Heczko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Schwan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Schwan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 15 · 06:00J. Schwan331111113M. Heczko199550
WFeb 27 · 10:30J. Schwan3811511113M. Heczko26411831
WFeb 27 · 07:30J. Schwan4411814113M. Heczko294111221
J. Schwan10
LSep 11 · 21:30D. Langer1.63811117113J. Schwan2.1511861182WSep 11 · 20:30D. Heczko2.1071070J. Schwan1.671112113LSep 11 · 19:30J. Schwan2.1091111101D. Langer1.6711132123WSep 11 · 18:30S. Byrtus1.9111114722J. Schwan1.80861111113LSep 9 · 13:30J. Schwan1.61119961S. Byrtus2.2041111113WSep 9 · 12:30S. Kysely1.731181151J. Schwan2.0071113113WSep 9 · 11:30J. Schwan1.91511116123R. Skacelik1.80119311102LSep 9 · 10:30S. Byrtus2.38511148123J. Schwan1.531161211102LSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730
M. Heczko10
WSep 15 · 07:00M. Heczko2.0011128113S. Byrtus1.738101191LSep 13 · 21:29V. Zidek2.381111113M. Heczko1.535790LSep 13 · 20:30V. Zidek3.001111113M. Heczko1.364660WSep 13 · 19:30M. Heczko2.0011115113V. Adamczyk1.73981151WSep 13 · 18:30R. Vavrecka1.6168121192M. Heczko2.201111108113LSep 11 · 13:30M. Heczko1.90581151J. Levicky1.8011118113WSep 11 · 12:30M. Heczko1.411111113P. Slavik2.509770WSep 11 · 11:00M. Heczko1.8311411113J. Levicky1.83711441LSep 11 · 10:00V. Adamczyk1.5311111211113M. Heczko2.3891314582WSep 11 · 09:29J. Levicky1.8357111162M. Heczko1.83111197113
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