TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129653
Played Sep 15Finished
Jaroslav Schwan
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012117116113––
Jakub Levicky
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Schwan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Schwan above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 71 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Jaroslav Schwan at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Schwan 5–2 Jakub Levicky Jakub Levicky has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 14:11What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Schwan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Schwan
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schwan 1587 vs Levicky 1656
Levicky
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schwan 80% vs Levicky 60%
Schwan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schwan 60% vs Levicky 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schwan +2 · Levicky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Schwan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schwan form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchwan 1.73 / Levicky 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Schwan)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129653
Schwan1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 35 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it74% 23 of 31
Levicky2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 55 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSchwan5wins
AwayLevicky2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderSchwan leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchwan100%3 of 3
AwayLevicky50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schwan3Levicky4n = 7Levicky took 4 of 7
S2Schwan5Levicky2n = 7Schwan took 5 of 7
S3Schwan5Levicky2n = 7Schwan took 5 of 7
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricSchwanLevickyS − LBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match35.331.4+3.9per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchwanLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 275 vs 447 / 87947.3%50.9%130 / 275 vs 447 / 879Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevickySchwan 1.73/Levicky 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Schwan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Schwan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 6 · 16:59J. Schwan29111080J. Levicky361312113
LSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan2611870J. Levicky351311113
WAug 17 · 20:30J. Schwan4051111133J. Levicky341193111
WMar 16 · 13:00J. Schwan331111113J. Levicky156630
WFeb 27 · 08:00J. Schwan351113113J. Levicky2661190
WFeb 22 · 08:30J. Schwan351113113J. Levicky2381140
WFeb 21 · 08:00J. Schwan49417115123J. Levicky511115411102
J. Schwan10
WSep 15 · 10:00A. Rinka1.73145771J. Schwan2.00121111113WSep 15 · 09:30J. Schwan1.731111113S. Byrtus2.006830LSep 15 · 08:00J. Schwan1.57111391192S. Byrtus2.25615113113WSep 15 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.67115691J. Schwan2.1071111113WSep 15 · 06:00J. Schwan1.401111113M. Heczko2.759550LSep 11 · 21:30D. Langer1.63811117113J. Schwan2.1511861182WSep 11 · 20:30D. Heczko2.1071070J. Schwan1.671112113LSep 11 · 19:30J. Schwan2.1091111101D. Langer1.6711132123WSep 11 · 18:30S. Byrtus1.9111114722J. Schwan1.80861111113LSep 9 · 13:30J. Schwan1.61119961S. Byrtus2.2041111113
J. Levicky10
LSep 15 · 10:30J. Levicky1.8061211562M. Heczko1.911110611113WSep 11 · 13:30M. Heczko1.90581151J. Levicky1.8011118113WSep 11 · 12:00V. Adamczyk1.6171111862J. Levicky2.20113511113LSep 11 · 11:00M. Heczko1.8311411113J. Levicky1.83711441WSep 11 · 10:30J. Levicky1.40115118113P. Slavik2.7581181142LSep 11 · 09:29J. Levicky1.8357111162M. Heczko1.83111197113WSep 11 · 08:00J. Levicky1.8011113113M. Heczko1.91971141WSep 11 · 07:30P. Slavik1.835640J. Levicky1.831111113WSep 11 · 06:00J. Levicky2.7511411133V. Zidek1.408115111LSep 8 · 13:30J. Cabak1.4611611113J. Levicky2.37711861
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