TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13156204
Played Sep 18Finished
Radomir Vavrecka
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116112––––
Dominik Oborny
Away
2.08
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:55 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeRadomir Vavrecka to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadomir Vavrecka above · Dominik Oborny below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 50 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Radomir Vavrecka at 62.4%
50 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Vavrecka 11–5 Dominik Oborny Dominik Oborny has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Vavrecka beat Oborny 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (55%)
Vavrecka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-5 in 16
Vavrecka
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1546 vs Oborny 1584
Oborny
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 100% vs Oborny 60%
Vavrecka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 60% vs Oborny 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka +5 · Oborny -1
Vavrecka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Vavrecka) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oborny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.67 / Oborny 2.08
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Vavrecka)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13156204
Vavrecka1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 36 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it61% 22 of 36
Oborny2.08
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 46 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVavrecka6wins
AwayOborny4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVavrecka leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka83.3%5 of 6
AwayOborny75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka6Oborny4n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S2Vavrecka7Oborny3n = 10Vavrecka took 7 of 10
S3Vavrecka7Oborny3n = 10Vavrecka took 7 of 10
S4Vavrecka2Oborny2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVavreckaObornyV − OBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.829.5+5.3per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaObornyBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 292 vs 322 / 62051.4%51.9%150 / 292 vs 322 / 620Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaVavrecka 1.67/Oborny 2.08
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 20:30R. Vavrecka341211113D. Oborny2710890
LJul 26 · 16:58R. Vavrecka37119981D. Oborny4181111113
LJul 26 · 16:00R. Vavrecka32681171D. Oborny4111118113
WJul 21 · 20:00R. Vavrecka371511113D. Oborny2013160
LJul 19 · 19:30R. Vavrecka248880D. Oborny331111113
WMar 15 · 15:00R. Vavrecka331111113D. Oborny175570
WFeb 22 · 08:00R. Vavrecka331111113D. Oborny176920
WFeb 21 · 08:30R. Vavrecka43101111113D. Oborny34127871
WFeb 1 · 22:30R. Vavrecka331111113D. Oborny209650
LFeb 1 · 21:00R. Vavrecka4281131192D. Oborny45115117113
R. Vavrecka10
WSep 18 · 20:30D. Oborny2.1010890R. Vavrecka1.671211113WSep 18 · 19:30R. Vavrecka2.101111113D. Machander1.675950WSep 18 · 18:30J. Levicky1.8391111552R. Vavrecka1.83116811113WSep 16 · 13:04R. Vavrecka1.8041511113M. Heczko1.911113661WSep 16 · 12:30R. Vavrecka1.91711611133J. Schwan1.80115119112LSep 16 · 11:00R. Vavrecka2.20881171S. Kysely1.6111118113LSep 16 · 10:00M. Heczko2.2081116113R. Vavrecka1.611141461LSep 15 · 09:03M. Heczko2.00511711113R. Vavrecka1.7311711452WSep 15 · 08:30M. Heczko2.1011135552R. Vavrecka1.676111111113LSep 15 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.67115691J. Schwan2.1071111113
D. Oborny10
LSep 18 · 20:30D. Oborny2.1010890R. Vavrecka1.671211113WSep 18 · 19:00D. Oborny2.001112113J. Levicky1.7331070WSep 18 · 18:00D. Machander1.918980D. Oborny1.801111113LSep 17 · 20:59D. Oborny2.20512991V. Zidek1.61111011113WSep 17 · 20:00V. Zidek1.4451151182D. Oborny2.63118119113LSep 17 · 19:00V. Adamczyk1.9111136133D. Oborny1.8081111111LSep 17 · 18:30D. Oborny1.834850V. Cerny1.831111113WSep 14 · 17:03D. Oborny1.8311611113D. Machander1.83711981LSep 14 · 16:30S. Byrtus2.251215134113D. Oborny1.571017111172WSep 14 · 15:30D. Oborny2.501112113D. Machander1.5091070
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