TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147081
Played Sep 18Finished
Dominik Oborny
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131210117––––
Jakub Levicky
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Levicky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDominik Oborny above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jakub Levicky at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Oborny 43–47 Jakub Levicky Dominik Oborny has won 43 of their 90 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:51What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Levicky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-47 in 90
Levicky
Wrong
gap of 4 in 90, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oborny 1586 vs Levicky 1598
Levicky
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oborny 40% vs Levicky 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oborny 40% vs Levicky 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oborny +1 · Levicky -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Levicky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOborny 2.00 / Levicky 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Levicky)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147081
Oborny2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 46 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Levicky1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 93 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it86% 71 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOborny4wins
AwayLevicky6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevicky leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOborny60%3 of 5
AwayLevicky80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oborny5Levicky5n = 10split evenly
S2Oborny6Levicky4n = 10Oborny took 6 of 10
S3Oborny6Levicky4n = 10Oborny took 6 of 10
S4Oborny2Levicky8n = 10Levicky took 8 of 10
S5Oborny2Levicky3n = 5Levicky took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricObornyLevickyO − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.142.7+0.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObornyLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 618 vs 445 / 87851.9%50.7%321 / 618 vs 445 / 878Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyOborny 2.00/Levicky 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Oborny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 07:00D. Oborny30115591J. Levicky3961111113
WSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny48111169113J. Levicky4387111162
WSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny541191112113J. Levicky4561161482
LSep 2 · 20:00D. Oborny37911891J. Levicky4011711113
LAug 31 · 18:00D. Oborny48117119102J. Levicky50711911123
LAug 19 · 17:00D. Oborny4051111672J. Levicky44117411113
WAug 19 · 14:30D. Oborny4011116123J. Levicky366911101
LAug 18 · 19:30D. Oborny381191171J. Levicky4413119113
LAug 6 · 20:58D. Oborny47101111782J. Levicky52129911113
WAug 6 · 19:00D. Oborny4991118113J. Levicky341121651
D. Oborny10
LSep 18 · 20:30D. Oborny2.1010890R. Vavrecka1.671211113WSep 18 · 18:00D. Machander1.918980D. Oborny1.801111113LSep 17 · 20:59D. Oborny2.20512991V. Zidek1.61111011113WSep 17 · 20:00V. Zidek1.4451151182D. Oborny2.63118119113LSep 17 · 19:00V. Adamczyk1.9111136133D. Oborny1.8081111111LSep 17 · 18:30D. Oborny1.834850V. Cerny1.831111113WSep 14 · 17:03D. Oborny1.8311611113D. Machander1.83711981LSep 14 · 16:30S. Byrtus2.251215134113D. Oborny1.571017111172WSep 14 · 15:30D. Oborny2.501112113D. Machander1.5091070LSep 14 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.671191211113D. Oborny2.1081114272
J. Levicky10
WSep 18 · 20:59J. Levicky2.001111113D. Machander1.739640WSep 18 · 20:00D. Machander1.57791281J. Levicky2.25111110113LSep 18 · 18:30J. Levicky1.8391111552R. Vavrecka1.83116811113LSep 18 · 09:29J. Levicky1.91413491S. Byrtus1.80111111113WSep 18 · 08:30S. Byrtus1.8341110101J. Levicky1.8311812123LSep 18 · 07:30J. Levicky2.5011851152R. Skacelik1.50711118113WSep 18 · 06:30D. Heczko2.10112981J. Levicky1.6761111113LSep 16 · 09:28J. Levicky2.201161171R. Skacelik1.6113115113WSep 16 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.44811791J. Levicky2.6311611113WSep 16 · 07:00P. Danko1.4091060J. Levicky2.751112113
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