TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Dominik Oborny
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181161513––––
Vojtech Cerny
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeVojtech Cerny to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDominik Oborny above · Vojtech Cerny below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 15-13
Point 64 set 3, 15-13 — our read held Vojtech Cerny at 63.6%
64 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Oborny 1–2 Vojtech Cerny Dominik Oborny has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Cerny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oborny 1576 vs Cerny 1611
Cerny
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oborny 80% vs Cerny 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oborny 60% vs Cerny 90%
Cerny
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oborny +3 · Cerny +2
Oborny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Cerny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cerny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOborny 2.38 / Cerny 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Cerny)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160006
Oborny2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 48 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Cerny1.53
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite59% won 24 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it69% 18 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeOborny1wins
AwayCerny2wins
Cerny leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oborny1Cerny2n = 3Cerny took 2 of 3
S2Oborny0Cerny3n = 3Cerny took 3 of 3
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricObornyCernyO − CBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match30.032.0−2.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObornyCernyBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 620 vs 53 / 10451.9%51%322 / 620 vs 53 / 104Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernyOborny 2.38/Cerny 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.6%
Cerny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Oborny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 17 · 18:30D. Oborny174850V. Cerny331111113
WJun 3 · 06:00D. Oborny43111011113V. Cerny31612491
D. Oborny10
WSep 20 · 19:30M. Volny1.679680D. Oborny2.101111113WSep 20 · 18:00D. Oborny1.611111133L. Velicka2.2088110WSep 20 · 09:17D. Oborny1.4011117113D. Machander2.75871171LSep 20 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61913119113D. Oborny2.20111161132WSep 20 · 07:00M. Heczko2.0061161182D. Oborny1.73117119113LSep 20 · 06:30D. Oborny1.5311117642D. Machander2.38641111113LSep 18 · 21:30R. Vavrecka1.671111113D. Oborny2.089620LSep 18 · 20:30D. Oborny2.1010890R. Vavrecka1.671211113WSep 18 · 19:00D. Oborny2.001112113J. Levicky1.7331070WSep 18 · 18:00D. Machander1.918980D. Oborny1.801111113
V. Cerny10
WSep 20 · 19:00L. Velicka1.918560V. Cerny1.801111113WSep 20 · 18:30V. Cerny2.63121296113M. Volny1.441010111192LSep 17 · 21:30V. Cerny1.7311661192V. Adamczyk2.00911116113WSep 17 · 20:30V. Adamczyk1.73611891V. Cerny2.0011511113WSep 17 · 19:30V. Cerny2.63116128113V. Zidek1.44611101142WSep 17 · 18:30D. Oborny1.834850V. Cerny1.831111113WSep 7 · 17:29V. Cerny1.441111133M. Blejchar2.6364110WSep 7 · 16:00V. Cerny1.67911911113R. Guliak2.1011911992WSep 7 · 15:30M. Blejchar2.257240V. Cerny1.571111113WSep 7 · 14:00V. Cerny1.831611113P. Hanel1.8314660
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