TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Alfred Rinka vs Dalimil Machander 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Alfred Rinka
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119114––––
Dalimil Machander
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:05 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeAlfred Rinka to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlfred Rinka above · Dalimil Machander below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 57 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Alfred Rinka at 63.6%
57 points played in total.
H2H Alfred Rinka 2–1 Dalimil Machander Dalimil Machander has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Rinka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rinka 1614 vs Machander 1502
Rinka
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rinka 80% vs Machander 20%
Rinka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rinka 60% vs Machander 20%
Rinka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rinka +2 · Machander +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Rinka) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Machander form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRinka 1.50 / Machander 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Rinka)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169768
Rinka1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 19 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Machander2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog42% won 61 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back32% 26 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back18% 9 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeRinka2wins
AwayMachander1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderRinka leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rinka2Machander1n = 3Rinka took 2 of 3
S2Rinka2Machander1n = 3Rinka took 2 of 3
S3Rinka3Machander0n = 3Rinka took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricRinkaMachanderR − MBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.336.7+3.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRinkaMachanderBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 75 vs 170 / 37250.7%45.7%38 / 75 vs 170 / 372Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.940.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RinkaRinka 1.50/Machander 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Rinka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rinka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 20 · 07:30A. Rinka46121111123D. Machander4210139101
WAug 30 · 10:00A. Rinka331111113D. Machander203890
LJun 11 · 16:30A. Rinka4281111662D. Machander48116911113
A. Rinka10
WSep 22 · 07:00A. Rinka2.00116811113P. Danko1.7391111852WSep 22 · 06:00S. Byrtus1.73117531A. Rinka2.0051111113LSep 20 · 09:30M. Heczko1.521111113A. Rinka2.359760WSep 20 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61913119113D. Oborny2.20111161132WSep 20 · 07:30D. Machander2.2010139101A. Rinka1.61121111123LSep 20 · 06:00A. Rinka2.209650M. Heczko1.611111113WSep 15 · 12:58A. Rinka1.6711115113J. Levicky2.10741151WSep 15 · 12:00A. Rinka1.73115911113J. Levicky2.0061111772LSep 15 · 11:30M. Heczko1.6711811113A. Rinka2.10611571LSep 15 · 10:00A. Rinka1.73145771J. Schwan2.00121111113
D. Machander10
WSep 22 · 08:58D. Machander2.10811116113S. Byrtus1.6711681192WSep 22 · 07:30D. Machander2.20115811113S. Byrtus1.6171111972LSep 22 · 06:30P. Danko1.571111113D. Machander2.256890LSep 20 · 09:17D. Oborny1.4011117113D. Machander2.75871171LSep 20 · 08:30M. Heczko1.61111199113D. Machander2.2079111192LSep 20 · 07:30D. Machander2.2010139101A. Rinka1.61121111123WSep 20 · 06:30D. Oborny1.5311117642D. Machander2.38641111113LSep 18 · 20:59J. Levicky2.001111113D. Machander1.739640LSep 18 · 20:00D. Machander1.57791281J. Levicky2.25111110113LSep 18 · 19:30R. Vavrecka2.101111113D. Machander1.675950
Upcoming Matches
A. Rinka
Nothing scheduled
D. Machander
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